Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 10·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
23%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.423.15safe0.76–2.690.57–2.281.33–4.97safer0.51–2.950.34–2.500.85–5.45
Shots on target
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.454.429.87safe3.59–7.322.68–6.166.27–13.48safer3.10–7.802.21–6.635.31–14.43
Total shots
73%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5210.9325.45safe10.60–18.457.36–14.4917.96–32.94safer9.51–19.546.40–15.4515.91–34.99
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction10.297.7218.01safe7.35–13.235.04–10.4012.38–23.63safer6.52–14.064.30–11.1410.82–25.20
Blocked shots
57%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.892.896.77safe2.01–5.771.23–4.543.24–10.31safer1.46–6.310.74–5.032.20–11.34
Corners
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.104.0710.17safe3.89–8.312.07–6.075.96–14.39safer3.31–8.891.54–6.614.85–15.49
Possession %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction56.0843.61safe49.29–62.8736.83–50.40safer47.62–64.5435.16–52.07
Passes
84%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction500379879safe432–567313–446745–1013safer414–585295–463710–1048
Pass accuracy %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction70.2967.53safe66.26–74.3263.21–71.86safer64.97–75.6161.90–73.17
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2712.3024.57safe9.43–15.119.35–15.2418.79–30.35safer8.68–15.868.61–15.9917.28–31.86
Offsides
17%
15%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction1.643.164.80safe0.48–2.802.07–4.252.55–7.05safer0.18–3.101.78–4.541.96–7.64
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.973.77safe0.75–2.850.84–3.101.59–5.95safer0.49–3.120.55–3.391.03–6.51
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.863.326.18safe1.43–4.301.77–4.883.19–9.18safer1.04–4.691.34–5.302.38–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.73 0.76–2.69 0.51–2.95 | 1.42 0.57–2.28 0.34–2.50 | 3.15 1.33–4.97 0.85–5.45 | 45% 23% 32% |
| Shots on target | 5.45 3.59–7.32 3.10–7.80 | 4.42 2.68–6.16 2.21–6.63 | 9.87 6.27–13.48 5.31–14.43 | 57% 31% |
| Total shots | 14.52 10.60–18.45 9.51–19.54 | 10.93 7.36–14.49 6.40–15.45 | 25.45 17.96–32.94 15.91–34.99 | 73% 21% |
| Shots in box | 10.29 7.35–13.23 6.52–14.06 | 7.72 5.04–10.40 4.30–11.14 | 18.01 12.38–23.63 10.82–25.20 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 3.89 2.01–5.77 1.46–6.31 | 2.89 1.23–4.54 0.74–5.03 | 6.77 3.24–10.31 2.20–11.34 | 57% 15% 28% |
| Corners | 6.10 3.89–8.31 3.31–8.89 | 4.07 2.07–6.07 1.54–6.61 | 10.17 5.96–14.39 4.85–15.49 | 68% 21% |
| Possession % | 56.08 49.29–62.87 47.62–64.54 | 43.61 36.83–50.40 35.16–52.07 | — | 75% 21% |
| Passes | 500 432–567 414–585 | 379 313–446 295–463 | 879 745–1013 710–1048 | 84% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.29 66.26–74.32 64.97–75.61 | 67.53 63.21–71.86 61.90–73.17 | — | 61% 34% |
| Fouls | 12.27 9.43–15.11 8.68–15.86 | 12.30 9.35–15.24 8.61–15.99 | 24.57 18.79–30.35 17.28–31.86 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 3.16 2.07–4.25 1.78–4.54 | 4.80 2.55–7.05 1.96–7.64 | 17% 15% 68% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.49–3.12 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.77 1.59–5.95 1.03–6.51 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.86 1.43–4.30 1.04–4.69 | 3.32 1.77–4.88 1.34–5.30 | 6.18 3.19–9.18 2.38–9.99 | 35% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+