Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 24·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
25%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.492.94safe0.48–2.420.64–2.351.12–4.76safer0.23–2.670.41–2.570.64–5.24
Shots on target
49%
13%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.844.409.24safe2.98–6.702.66–6.145.64–12.85safer2.49–7.192.19–6.614.68–13.80
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9812.0526.03safe10.06–17.918.49–15.6118.55–33.52safer8.97–19.007.53–16.5716.50–35.57
Shots in box
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction8.848.9217.75safe5.90–11.786.24–11.6012.13–23.38safer5.07–12.615.50–12.3310.56–24.94
Blocked shots
42%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.513.567.07safe1.62–5.391.91–5.213.53–10.60safer1.08–5.931.41–5.702.49–11.64
Corners
38%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.615.089.69safe2.39–6.823.08–7.085.47–13.90safer1.82–7.392.55–7.624.37–15.01
Possession %
33%
63%
homeawayprediction47.1053.54safe40.31–53.8946.76–60.33safer38.64–55.5645.09–62.00
Passes
36%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction419463882safe352–486396–529748–1015safer334–504379–547712–1051
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction63.7273.18safe59.69–67.7568.86–77.50safer58.40–69.0467.55–78.81
Fouls
36%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7413.0624.79safe8.90–14.5710.11–16.0019.01–30.57safer8.14–15.339.36–16.7517.50–32.08
Offsides
70%
14%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction3.301.654.95safe2.14–4.460.55–2.742.70–7.21safer1.84–4.770.27–3.032.11–7.79
Yellow cards
29%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.582.073.65safe0.53–2.630.95–3.201.47–5.83safer0.26–2.890.65–3.500.92–6.39
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
35%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.843.266.10safe1.40–4.271.70–4.813.11–9.09safer1.02–4.661.28–5.242.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.45 0.48–2.42 0.23–2.67 | 1.49 0.64–2.35 0.41–2.57 | 2.94 1.12–4.76 0.64–5.24 | 37% 25% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.84 2.98–6.70 2.49–7.19 | 4.40 2.66–6.14 2.19–6.61 | 9.24 5.64–12.85 4.68–13.80 | 49% 13% 38% |
| Total shots | 13.98 10.06–17.91 8.97–19.00 | 12.05 8.49–15.61 7.53–16.57 | 26.03 18.55–33.52 16.50–35.57 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 8.84 5.90–11.78 5.07–12.61 | 8.92 6.24–11.60 5.50–12.33 | 17.75 12.13–23.38 10.56–24.94 | 45% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 3.51 1.62–5.39 1.08–5.93 | 3.56 1.91–5.21 1.41–5.70 | 7.07 3.53–10.60 2.49–11.64 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 4.61 2.39–6.82 1.82–7.39 | 5.08 3.08–7.08 2.55–7.62 | 9.69 5.47–13.90 4.37–15.01 | 38% 50% |
| Possession % | 47.10 40.31–53.89 38.64–55.56 | 53.54 46.76–60.33 45.09–62.00 | — | 33% 63% |
| Passes | 419 352–486 334–504 | 463 396–529 379–547 | 882 748–1015 712–1051 | 36% 64% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.72 59.69–67.75 58.40–69.04 | 73.18 68.86–77.50 67.55–78.81 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 11.74 8.90–14.57 8.14–15.33 | 13.06 10.11–16.00 9.36–16.75 | 24.79 19.01–30.57 17.50–32.08 | 36% 57% |
| Offsides | 3.30 2.14–4.46 1.84–4.77 | 1.65 0.55–2.74 0.27–3.03 | 4.95 2.70–7.21 2.11–7.79 | 70% 14% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.63 0.26–2.89 | 2.07 0.95–3.20 0.65–3.50 | 3.65 1.47–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 29% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.84 1.40–4.27 1.02–4.66 | 3.26 1.70–4.81 1.28–5.24 | 6.10 3.11–9.09 2.29–9.90 | 35% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+