Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 10·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
21%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.061.993.05safe0.09–2.021.14–2.851.23–4.87safer0.00–2.270.91–3.080.75–5.35
Shots on target
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.655.799.45safe1.79–5.524.05–7.535.84–13.05safer1.30–6.013.58–8.004.89–14.01
Total shots
19%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9916.0428.03safe8.07–15.9212.47–19.6020.54–35.51safer6.97–17.0111.51–20.5618.49–37.56
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.5510.9117.45safe3.61–9.498.23–13.5911.83–23.08safer2.78–10.327.49–14.3210.26–24.64
Blocked shots
34%
15%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.373.997.36safe1.49–5.252.33–5.643.82–10.89safer0.95–5.801.84–6.132.79–11.93
Corners
35%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.475.159.63safe2.26–6.693.15–7.155.41–13.84safer1.69–7.262.62–7.694.31–14.95
Possession %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction47.8252.69safe41.03–54.6145.91–59.47safer39.36–56.2844.23–61.15
Passes
47%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction455464919safe387–522398–531785–1053safer369–540380–548750–1088
Pass accuracy %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction63.6870.23safe59.65–67.7165.90–74.55safer58.35–69.0064.59–75.86
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2812.8324.11safe8.44–14.129.88–15.7718.33–29.89safer7.69–14.879.14–16.5216.82–31.40
Offsides
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.602.033.62safe0.44–2.760.93–3.121.37–5.87safer0.13–3.060.64–3.410.78–6.46
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.063.82safe0.71–2.800.93–3.191.64–6.00safer0.44–3.070.64–3.481.08–6.55
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
57%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.582.636.21safe2.15–5.021.07–4.183.22–9.20safer1.76–5.410.65–4.612.41–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.06 0.09–2.02 0.00–2.27 | 1.99 1.14–2.85 0.91–3.08 | 3.05 1.23–4.87 0.75–5.35 | 20% 21% 59% |
| Shots on target | 3.65 1.79–5.52 1.30–6.01 | 5.79 4.05–7.53 3.58–8.00 | 9.45 5.84–13.05 4.89–14.01 | 19% 70% |
| Total shots | 11.99 8.07–15.92 6.97–17.01 | 16.04 12.47–19.60 11.51–20.56 | 28.03 20.54–35.51 18.49–37.56 | 19% 75% |
| Shots in box | 6.55 3.61–9.49 2.78–10.32 | 10.91 8.23–13.59 7.49–14.32 | 17.45 11.83–23.08 10.26–24.64 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 3.37 1.49–5.25 0.95–5.80 | 3.99 2.33–5.64 1.84–6.13 | 7.36 3.82–10.89 2.79–11.93 | 34% 15% 51% |
| Corners | 4.47 2.26–6.69 1.69–7.26 | 5.15 3.15–7.15 2.62–7.69 | 9.63 5.41–13.84 4.31–14.95 | 35% 52% |
| Possession % | 47.82 41.03–54.61 39.36–56.28 | 52.69 45.91–59.47 44.23–61.15 | — | 36% 59% |
| Passes | 455 387–522 369–540 | 464 398–531 380–548 | 919 785–1053 750–1088 | 47% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.68 59.65–67.71 58.35–69.00 | 70.23 65.90–74.55 64.59–75.86 | — | 18% 78% |
| Fouls | 11.28 8.44–14.12 7.69–14.87 | 12.83 9.88–15.77 9.14–16.52 | 24.11 18.33–29.89 16.82–31.40 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.13–3.06 | 2.03 0.93–3.12 0.64–3.41 | 3.62 1.37–5.87 0.78–6.46 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.71–2.80 0.44–3.07 | 2.06 0.93–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 3.82 1.64–6.00 1.08–6.55 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.58 2.15–5.02 1.76–5.41 | 2.63 1.07–4.18 0.65–4.61 | 6.21 3.22–9.20 2.41–10.01 | 57% 15% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.