Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 18·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
20%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.070.832.90safe1.10–3.040.00–1.691.08–4.72safer0.85–3.290.00–1.920.60–5.20
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.273.139.40safe4.41–8.141.39–4.875.80–13.01safer3.92–8.630.92–5.344.84–13.96
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction17.529.4126.93safe13.60–21.455.85–12.9719.44–34.42safer12.51–22.544.89–13.9317.39–36.47
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction11.705.6617.36safe8.76–14.642.98–8.3411.73–22.98safer7.93–15.472.24–9.0710.17–24.55
Blocked shots
65%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.643.067.69safe2.76–6.521.40–4.714.16–11.23safer2.21–7.060.91–5.203.12–12.27
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.533.469.99safe4.31–8.741.46–5.475.78–14.20safer3.74–9.310.93–6.004.67–15.31
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction54.0146.02safe47.22–60.8039.23–52.80safer45.55–62.4737.56–54.48
Passes
72%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction523451974safe455–590385–518840–1107safer437–608367–535804–1143
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction67.8869.45safe63.85–71.9165.13–73.78safer62.56–73.2063.82–75.09
Fouls
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3810.9422.32safe8.54–14.218.00–13.8916.54–28.10safer7.78–14.977.25–14.6415.03–29.61
Offsides
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.463.29safe0.66–2.990.37–2.561.03–5.54safer0.36–3.290.08–2.840.45–6.13
Yellow cards
29%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.482.003.48safe0.43–2.530.87–3.131.30–5.66safer0.16–2.790.58–3.420.74–6.22
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.140.19safe0.00–0.210.00–0.320.00–0.54safer0.00–0.360.00–0.460.00–0.82
GK saves
16%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.244.186.42safe0.80–3.682.62–5.733.43–9.41safer0.42–4.062.20–6.162.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.07 1.10–3.04 0.85–3.29 | 0.83 0.00–1.69 0.00–1.92 | 2.90 1.08–4.72 0.60–5.20 | 66% 20% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.27 4.41–8.14 3.92–8.63 | 3.13 1.39–4.87 0.92–5.34 | 9.40 5.80–13.01 4.84–13.96 | 81% |
| Total shots | 17.52 13.60–21.45 12.51–22.54 | 9.41 5.85–12.97 4.89–13.93 | 26.93 19.44–34.42 17.39–36.47 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 11.70 8.76–14.64 7.93–15.47 | 5.66 2.98–8.34 2.24–9.07 | 17.36 11.73–22.98 10.17–24.55 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 4.64 2.76–6.52 2.21–7.06 | 3.06 1.40–4.71 0.91–5.20 | 7.69 4.16–11.23 3.12–12.27 | 65% 22% |
| Corners | 6.53 4.31–8.74 3.74–9.31 | 3.46 1.46–5.47 0.93–6.00 | 9.99 5.78–14.20 4.67–15.31 | 79% |
| Possession % | 54.01 47.22–60.80 45.55–62.47 | 46.02 39.23–52.80 37.56–54.48 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 523 455–590 437–608 | 451 385–518 367–535 | 974 840–1107 804–1143 | 72% 27% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.88 63.85–71.91 62.56–73.20 | 69.45 65.13–73.78 63.82–75.09 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 11.38 8.54–14.21 7.78–14.97 | 10.94 8.00–13.89 7.25–14.64 | 22.32 16.54–28.10 15.03–29.61 | 49% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.99 0.36–3.29 | 1.46 0.37–2.56 0.08–2.84 | 3.29 1.03–5.54 0.45–6.13 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.43–2.53 0.16–2.79 | 2.00 0.87–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 3.48 1.30–5.66 0.74–6.22 | 29% 22% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.24 0.80–3.68 0.42–4.06 | 4.18 2.62–5.73 2.20–6.16 | 6.42 3.43–9.41 2.61–10.22 | 16% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.