Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 10·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
26%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.172.56safe0.42–2.360.32–2.030.74–4.38safer0.17–2.610.09–2.260.26–4.86
Shots on target
53%
13%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.874.139.00safe3.01–6.732.39–5.875.40–12.61safer2.52–7.221.92–6.344.44–13.56
Total shots
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9011.8426.75safe10.98–18.838.28–15.4119.26–34.23safer9.89–19.927.32–16.3617.21–36.28
Shots in box
67%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction9.877.5417.41safe6.93–12.814.86–10.2211.79–23.03safer6.10–13.644.12–10.9610.22–24.60
Blocked shots
48%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.803.467.26safe1.92–5.691.80–5.113.73–10.80safer1.38–6.231.31–5.602.69–11.83
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.994.7210.71safe3.78–8.202.72–6.726.49–14.92safer3.20–8.782.18–7.255.39–16.03
Possession %
37%
59%
homeawayprediction48.3053.01safe41.51–55.0946.23–59.80safer39.84–56.7644.56–61.47
Passes
29%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction380447826safe312–447380–513693–960safer294–465363–531657–996
Pass accuracy %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction60.6267.52safe56.60–64.6563.19–71.84safer55.30–65.9561.88–73.15
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8713.4225.29safe9.04–14.7110.47–16.3619.51–31.07safer8.28–15.479.73–17.1118.01–32.58
Offsides
47%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.443.25safe0.65–2.970.34–2.530.99–5.50safer0.35–3.270.05–2.820.40–6.09
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.822.103.92safe0.77–2.870.97–3.231.74–6.10safer0.50–3.130.68–3.521.18–6.66
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.803.195.99safe1.37–4.241.63–4.743.00–8.98safer0.98–4.631.21–5.172.18–9.79
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.39 0.42–2.36 0.17–2.61 | 1.17 0.32–2.03 0.09–2.26 | 2.56 0.74–4.38 0.26–4.86 | 42% 26% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.87 3.01–6.73 2.52–7.22 | 4.13 2.39–5.87 1.92–6.34 | 9.00 5.40–12.61 4.44–13.56 | 53% 13% 34% |
| Total shots | 14.90 10.98–18.83 9.89–19.92 | 11.84 8.28–15.41 7.32–16.36 | 26.75 19.26–34.23 17.21–36.28 | 69% 24% |
| Shots in box | 9.87 6.93–12.81 6.10–13.64 | 7.54 4.86–10.22 4.12–10.96 | 17.41 11.79–23.03 10.22–24.60 | 67% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 3.80 1.92–5.69 1.38–6.23 | 3.46 1.80–5.11 1.31–5.60 | 7.26 3.73–10.80 2.69–11.83 | 48% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 5.99 3.78–8.20 3.20–8.78 | 4.72 2.72–6.72 2.18–7.25 | 10.71 6.49–14.92 5.39–16.03 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 48.30 41.51–55.09 39.84–56.76 | 53.01 46.23–59.80 44.56–61.47 | — | 37% 59% |
| Passes | 380 312–447 294–465 | 447 380–513 363–531 | 826 693–960 657–996 | 29% 71% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.62 56.60–64.65 55.30–65.95 | 67.52 63.19–71.84 61.88–73.15 | — | 17% 80% |
| Fouls | 11.87 9.04–14.71 8.28–15.47 | 13.42 10.47–16.36 9.73–17.11 | 25.29 19.51–31.07 18.01–32.58 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.44 0.34–2.53 0.05–2.82 | 3.25 0.99–5.50 0.40–6.09 | 47% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.50–3.13 | 2.10 0.97–3.23 0.68–3.52 | 3.92 1.74–6.10 1.18–6.66 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.80 1.37–4.24 0.98–4.63 | 3.19 1.63–4.74 1.21–5.17 | 5.99 3.00–8.98 2.18–9.79 | 36% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.