Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 28·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
26%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.182.66safe0.52–2.450.32–2.030.84–4.48safer0.27–2.700.09–2.260.36–4.96
Shots on target
53%
13%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.623.918.52safe2.76–6.482.16–5.654.92–12.13safer2.27–6.971.70–6.113.96–13.09
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7312.4227.15safe10.80–18.658.86–15.9819.66–34.63safer9.71–19.747.90–16.9417.61–36.68
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction8.658.3316.98safe5.71–11.595.65–11.0111.36–22.60safer4.88–12.424.91–11.759.79–24.17
Blocked shots
51%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.263.707.96safe2.38–6.152.05–5.354.43–11.50safer1.84–6.691.55–5.853.39–12.53
Corners
48%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.254.9310.18safe3.04–7.472.93–6.935.97–14.39safer2.47–8.042.39–7.464.86–15.50
Possession %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction55.5244.73safe48.73–62.3137.95–51.52safer47.06–63.9836.28–53.19
Passes
85%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction477350827safe410–544284–416693–961safer392–563266–434658–996
Pass accuracy %
48%
46%
homeawayprediction64.5064.29safe60.47–68.5359.97–68.62safer59.18–69.8258.66–69.93
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8012.6325.44safe9.97–15.649.69–15.5819.66–31.22safer9.21–16.408.94–16.3318.15–32.73
Offsides
34%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.673.14safe0.31–2.630.58–2.760.89–5.40safer0.01–2.930.29–3.050.30–5.99
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.913.63safe0.67–2.770.78–3.031.45–5.81safer0.41–3.040.49–3.330.89–6.36
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.873.105.98safe1.44–4.311.55–4.662.99–8.97safer1.05–4.701.12–5.082.17–9.78
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.52–2.45 0.27–2.70 | 1.18 0.32–2.03 0.09–2.26 | 2.66 0.84–4.48 0.36–4.96 | 44% 26% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.62 2.76–6.48 2.27–6.97 | 3.91 2.16–5.65 1.70–6.11 | 8.52 4.92–12.13 3.96–13.09 | 53% 13% 34% |
| Total shots | 14.73 10.80–18.65 9.71–19.74 | 12.42 8.86–15.98 7.90–16.94 | 27.15 19.66–34.63 17.61–36.68 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 8.65 5.71–11.59 4.88–12.42 | 8.33 5.65–11.01 4.91–11.75 | 16.98 11.36–22.60 9.79–24.17 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 4.26 2.38–6.15 1.84–6.69 | 3.70 2.05–5.35 1.55–5.85 | 7.96 4.43–11.50 3.39–12.53 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Corners | 5.25 3.04–7.47 2.47–8.04 | 4.93 2.93–6.93 2.39–7.46 | 10.18 5.97–14.39 4.86–15.50 | 48% 40% |
| Possession % | 55.52 48.73–62.31 47.06–63.98 | 44.73 37.95–51.52 36.28–53.19 | — | 72% 24% |
| Passes | 477 410–544 392–563 | 350 284–416 266–434 | 827 693–961 658–996 | 85% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.50 60.47–68.53 59.18–69.82 | 64.29 59.97–68.62 58.66–69.93 | — | 48% 46% |
| Fouls | 12.80 9.97–15.64 9.21–16.40 | 12.63 9.69–15.58 8.94–16.33 | 25.44 19.66–31.22 18.15–32.73 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.47 0.31–2.63 0.01–2.93 | 1.67 0.58–2.76 0.29–3.05 | 3.14 0.89–5.40 0.30–5.99 | 34% 24% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.41–3.04 | 1.91 0.78–3.03 0.49–3.33 | 3.63 1.45–5.81 0.89–6.36 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.87 1.44–4.31 1.05–4.70 | 3.10 1.55–4.66 1.12–5.08 | 5.98 2.99–8.97 2.17–9.78 | 38% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.