Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 10·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
20%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.050.792.84safe1.08–3.020.00–1.651.02–4.66safer0.83–3.270.00–1.880.54–5.14
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction5.932.918.84safe4.07–7.791.17–4.655.24–12.45safer3.58–8.280.70–5.124.28–13.40
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction17.739.0626.79safe13.81–21.665.50–12.6219.30–34.28safer12.72–22.754.54–13.5817.25–36.33
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction11.225.5716.80safe8.28–14.172.89–8.2611.17–22.42safer7.45–15.002.16–8.999.61–23.99
Blocked shots
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.602.717.31safe2.72–6.481.06–4.363.78–10.85safer2.18–7.030.56–4.862.74–11.88
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction7.073.6910.75safe4.85–9.281.69–5.696.54–14.97safer4.28–9.851.16–6.225.43–16.08
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.7837.54safe55.99–69.5730.75–44.32safer54.32–71.2429.08–45.99
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction582346928safe515–649279–412794–1062safer497–667262–430759–1097
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction74.0265.62safe69.99–78.0561.29–69.94safer68.70–79.3459.98–71.25
Fouls
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6212.9123.53safe7.79–13.469.97–15.8617.75–29.32safer7.03–14.229.22–16.6016.25–30.82
Offsides
43%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.803.81safe0.85–3.170.71–2.901.56–6.06safer0.54–3.470.42–3.190.97–6.65
Yellow cards
23%
20%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.372.213.57safe0.32–2.421.08–3.341.39–5.75safer0.05–2.680.79–3.630.84–6.31
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
20%
14%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.213.735.94safe0.78–3.652.17–5.282.95–8.93safer0.39–4.041.75–5.712.13–9.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.05 1.08–3.02 0.83–3.27 | 0.79 0.00–1.65 0.00–1.88 | 2.84 1.02–4.66 0.54–5.14 | 67% 20% 13% |
| Shots on target | 5.93 4.07–7.79 3.58–8.28 | 2.91 1.17–4.65 0.70–5.12 | 8.84 5.24–12.45 4.28–13.40 | 80% |
| Total shots | 17.73 13.81–21.66 12.72–22.75 | 9.06 5.50–12.62 4.54–13.58 | 26.79 19.30–34.28 17.25–36.33 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 11.22 8.28–14.17 7.45–15.00 | 5.57 2.89–8.26 2.16–8.99 | 16.80 11.17–22.42 9.61–23.99 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 4.60 2.72–6.48 2.18–7.03 | 2.71 1.06–4.36 0.56–4.86 | 7.31 3.78–10.85 2.74–11.88 | 70% 18% |
| Corners | 7.07 4.85–9.28 4.28–9.85 | 3.69 1.69–5.69 1.16–6.22 | 10.75 6.54–14.97 5.43–16.08 | 81% |
| Possession % | 62.78 55.99–69.57 54.32–71.24 | 37.54 30.75–44.32 29.08–45.99 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 582 515–649 497–667 | 346 279–412 262–430 | 928 794–1062 759–1097 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.02 69.99–78.05 68.70–79.34 | 65.62 61.29–69.94 59.98–71.25 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 10.62 7.79–13.46 7.03–14.22 | 12.91 9.97–15.86 9.22–16.60 | 23.53 17.75–29.32 16.25–30.82 | 28% 64% |
| Offsides | 2.01 0.85–3.17 0.54–3.47 | 1.80 0.71–2.90 0.42–3.19 | 3.81 1.56–6.06 0.97–6.65 | 43% 21% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.32–2.42 0.05–2.68 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 3.57 1.39–5.75 0.84–6.31 | 23% 20% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.21 0.78–3.65 0.39–4.04 | 3.73 2.17–5.28 1.75–5.71 | 5.94 2.95–8.93 2.13–9.74 | 20% 14% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+