Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 19·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
22%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction0.961.862.82safe0.00–1.931.01–2.721.00–4.65safer0.00–2.180.78–2.950.52–5.13
Shots on target
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.345.658.98safe1.47–5.203.91–7.395.38–12.59safer0.98–5.693.44–7.864.42–13.55
Total shots
18%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1915.4026.58safe7.26–15.1111.83–18.9619.09–34.07safer6.17–16.2010.87–19.9217.04–36.12
Shots in box
18%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction6.7210.0216.74safe3.78–9.667.34–12.7011.12–22.36safer2.95–10.496.60–13.449.55–23.93
Blocked shots
32%
15%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.093.826.90safe1.20–4.972.16–5.473.37–10.44safer0.66–5.511.67–5.962.33–11.47
Corners
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.505.5410.04safe2.28–6.713.54–7.545.83–14.26safer1.71–7.283.01–8.084.72–15.36
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction38.8461.84safe32.05–45.6355.06–68.63safer30.38–47.3053.39–70.30
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction358533891safe290–425467–600757–1024safer272–443449–617721–1060
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction61.4875.75safe57.45–65.5171.43–80.08safer56.16–66.8170.12–81.39
Fouls
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0211.5724.59safe10.18–15.868.63–14.5218.81–30.38safer9.43–16.627.88–15.2717.31–31.88
Offsides
40%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.843.70safe0.70–3.020.75–2.941.45–5.96safer0.40–3.320.46–3.220.86–6.55
Yellow cards
43%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.743.65safe0.86–2.960.61–2.871.47–5.83safer0.59–3.230.32–3.160.91–6.38
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
58%
16%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.432.425.85safe2.00–4.870.87–3.982.86–8.85safer1.61–5.260.44–4.402.05–9.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.96 0.00–1.93 0.00–2.18 | 1.86 1.01–2.72 0.78–2.95 | 2.82 1.00–4.65 0.52–5.13 | 19% 22% 59% |
| Shots on target | 3.34 1.47–5.20 0.98–5.69 | 5.65 3.91–7.39 3.44–7.86 | 8.98 5.38–12.59 4.42–13.55 | 17% 73% |
| Total shots | 11.19 7.26–15.11 6.17–16.20 | 15.40 11.83–18.96 10.87–19.92 | 26.58 19.09–34.07 17.04–36.12 | 18% 76% |
| Shots in box | 6.72 3.78–9.66 2.95–10.49 | 10.02 7.34–12.70 6.60–13.44 | 16.74 11.12–22.36 9.55–23.93 | 18% 75% |
| Blocked shots | 3.09 1.20–4.97 0.66–5.51 | 3.82 2.16–5.47 1.67–5.96 | 6.90 3.37–10.44 2.33–11.47 | 32% 15% 53% |
| Corners | 4.50 2.28–6.71 1.71–7.28 | 5.54 3.54–7.54 3.01–8.08 | 10.04 5.83–14.26 4.72–15.36 | 31% 57% |
| Possession % | 38.84 32.05–45.63 30.38–47.30 | 61.84 55.06–68.63 53.39–70.30 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 358 290–425 272–443 | 533 467–600 449–617 | 891 757–1024 721–1060 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.48 57.45–65.51 56.16–66.81 | 75.75 71.43–80.08 70.12–81.39 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 13.02 10.18–15.86 9.43–16.62 | 11.57 8.63–14.52 7.88–15.27 | 24.59 18.81–30.38 17.31–31.88 | 58% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 1.84 0.75–2.94 0.46–3.22 | 3.70 1.45–5.96 0.86–6.55 | 40% 22% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.91 0.86–2.96 0.59–3.23 | 1.74 0.61–2.87 0.32–3.16 | 3.65 1.47–5.83 0.91–6.38 | 43% 22% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.43 2.00–4.87 1.61–5.26 | 2.42 0.87–3.98 0.44–4.40 | 5.85 2.86–8.85 2.05–9.66 | 58% 16% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+