Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 10·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
24%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.031.652.68safe0.06–2.000.80–2.510.86–4.50safer0.00–2.250.57–2.730.38–4.98
Shots on target
27%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.694.948.63safe1.83–5.553.20–6.685.03–12.24safer1.34–6.042.73–7.154.07–13.19
Total shots
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5814.2526.83safe8.65–16.5010.69–17.8119.34–34.31safer7.56–17.599.73–18.7717.29–36.37
Shots in box
30%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction7.899.5817.47safe4.95–10.836.90–12.2611.85–23.09safer4.12–11.666.16–13.0010.28–24.66
Blocked shots
30%
13%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.714.708.41safe1.83–5.593.05–6.354.88–11.95safer1.28–6.142.56–6.853.84–12.98
Corners
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.925.1910.11safe2.71–7.143.19–7.195.90–14.32safer2.14–7.712.65–7.724.79–15.43
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction39.0161.57safe32.22–45.8054.78–68.35safer30.55–47.4753.11–70.03
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction360558919safe293–428492–625785–1052safer275–446474–642749–1088
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction61.9776.22safe57.94–66.0071.90–80.54safer56.65–67.2970.59–81.85
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6811.6823.36safe8.84–14.528.73–14.6217.57–29.14safer8.09–15.277.98–15.3716.07–30.64
Offsides
47%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.423.25safe0.67–3.000.32–2.511.00–5.51safer0.37–3.300.04–2.800.41–6.10
Yellow cards
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.893.81safe0.87–2.970.76–3.021.63–5.99safer0.61–3.240.47–3.311.08–6.55
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.232.665.89safe1.79–4.661.10–4.212.89–8.88safer1.40–5.050.68–4.642.08–9.69
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.03 0.06–2.00 0.00–2.25 | 1.65 0.80–2.51 0.57–2.73 | 2.68 0.86–4.50 0.38–4.98 | 24% 24% 52% |
| Shots on target | 3.69 1.83–5.55 1.34–6.04 | 4.94 3.20–6.68 2.73–7.15 | 8.63 5.03–12.24 4.07–13.19 | 27% 60% |
| Total shots | 12.58 8.65–16.50 7.56–17.59 | 14.25 10.69–17.81 9.73–18.77 | 26.83 19.34–34.31 17.29–36.37 | 34% 59% |
| Shots in box | 7.89 4.95–10.83 4.12–11.66 | 9.58 6.90–12.26 6.16–13.00 | 17.47 11.85–23.09 10.28–24.66 | 30% 61% |
| Blocked shots | 3.71 1.83–5.59 1.28–6.14 | 4.70 3.05–6.35 2.56–6.85 | 8.41 4.88–11.95 3.84–12.98 | 30% 13% 57% |
| Corners | 4.92 2.71–7.14 2.14–7.71 | 5.19 3.19–7.19 2.65–7.72 | 10.11 5.90–14.32 4.79–15.43 | 40% 47% |
| Possession % | 39.01 32.22–45.80 30.55–47.47 | 61.57 54.78–68.35 53.11–70.03 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 360 293–428 275–446 | 558 492–625 474–642 | 919 785–1052 749–1088 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.97 57.94–66.00 56.65–67.29 | 76.22 71.90–80.54 70.59–81.85 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 11.68 8.84–14.52 8.09–15.27 | 11.68 8.73–14.62 7.98–15.37 | 23.36 17.57–29.14 16.07–30.64 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.67–3.00 0.37–3.30 | 1.42 0.32–2.51 0.04–2.80 | 3.25 1.00–5.51 0.41–6.10 | 47% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.97 0.61–3.24 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 3.81 1.63–5.99 1.08–6.55 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.23 1.79–4.66 1.40–5.05 | 2.66 1.10–4.21 0.68–4.64 | 5.89 2.89–8.88 2.08–9.69 | 51% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.