Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 34·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
22%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.920.972.89safe0.95–2.890.12–1.831.07–4.72safer0.70–3.140.00–2.060.59–5.20
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.693.539.22safe3.83–7.551.79–5.275.62–12.83safer3.34–8.041.32–5.744.66–13.78
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction16.9810.6827.66safe13.06–20.917.12–14.2420.17–35.15safer11.97–22.006.16–15.2018.12–37.20
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction11.347.0418.39safe8.40–14.294.36–9.7212.76–24.01safer7.57–15.123.62–10.4611.20–25.58
Blocked shots
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.822.847.66safe2.94–6.701.19–4.494.12–11.19safer2.39–7.240.69–4.983.09–12.23
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.133.819.95safe3.92–8.351.81–5.815.73–14.16safer3.35–8.921.28–6.354.63–15.27
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.7739.89safe53.98–67.5633.11–46.67safer52.31–69.2331.43–48.35
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction581367948safe514–648300–433814–1081safer496–667283–451778–1117
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction73.0068.03safe68.97–77.0363.70–72.35safer67.68–78.3262.39–73.66
Fouls
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7211.0622.78safe8.89–14.568.11–14.0017.00–28.56safer8.13–15.327.36–14.7515.49–30.07
Offsides
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.753.22safe0.31–2.630.66–2.840.97–5.48safer0.01–2.940.37–3.130.38–6.07
Yellow cards
29%
23%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.863.24safe0.33–2.430.73–2.991.07–5.42safer0.07–2.700.44–3.280.51–5.98
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
21%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.343.846.19safe0.91–3.782.29–5.403.19–9.18safer0.52–4.171.86–5.822.38–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.92 0.95–2.89 0.70–3.14 | 0.97 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 2.89 1.07–4.72 0.59–5.20 | 60% 22% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.69 3.83–7.55 3.34–8.04 | 3.53 1.79–5.27 1.32–5.74 | 9.22 5.62–12.83 4.66–13.78 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 16.98 13.06–20.91 11.97–22.00 | 10.68 7.12–14.24 6.16–15.20 | 27.66 20.17–35.15 18.12–37.20 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 11.34 8.40–14.29 7.57–15.12 | 7.04 4.36–9.72 3.62–10.46 | 18.39 12.76–24.01 11.20–25.58 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 4.82 2.94–6.70 2.39–7.24 | 2.84 1.19–4.49 0.69–4.98 | 7.66 4.12–11.19 3.09–12.23 | 70% 18% |
| Corners | 6.13 3.92–8.35 3.35–8.92 | 3.81 1.81–5.81 1.28–6.35 | 9.95 5.73–14.16 4.63–15.27 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 60.77 53.98–67.56 52.31–69.23 | 39.89 33.11–46.67 31.43–48.35 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 581 514–648 496–667 | 367 300–433 283–451 | 948 814–1081 778–1117 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.00 68.97–77.03 67.68–78.32 | 68.03 63.70–72.35 62.39–73.66 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 11.72 8.89–14.56 8.13–15.32 | 11.06 8.11–14.00 7.36–14.75 | 22.78 17.00–28.56 15.49–30.07 | 51% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.47 0.31–2.63 0.01–2.94 | 1.75 0.66–2.84 0.37–3.13 | 3.22 0.97–5.48 0.38–6.07 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.38 0.33–2.43 0.07–2.70 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.24 1.07–5.42 0.51–5.98 | 29% 23% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.34 0.91–3.78 0.52–4.17 | 3.84 2.29–5.40 1.86–5.82 | 6.19 3.19–9.18 2.38–9.99 | 21% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+