Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 10·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
26%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.101.472.57safe0.14–2.070.62–2.320.75–4.40safer0.00–2.320.39–2.550.27–4.88
Shots on target
35%
14%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.864.448.30safe1.99–5.722.70–6.184.69–11.90safer1.51–6.212.23–6.653.74–12.86
Total shots
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1013.2425.34safe8.18–16.029.68–16.8017.85–32.83safer7.08–17.128.72–17.7615.80–34.88
Shots in box
31%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction7.589.1416.73safe4.64–10.536.46–11.8211.10–22.35safer3.81–11.365.72–12.569.54–23.92
Blocked shots
37%
15%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.573.967.53safe1.69–5.452.30–5.613.99–11.06safer1.14–6.001.81–6.102.95–12.10
Corners
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.865.1710.03safe2.65–7.073.17–7.175.81–14.24safer2.07–7.652.63–7.704.70–15.35
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction49.9549.75safe43.16–56.7442.96–56.53safer41.49–58.4141.29–58.20
Passes
59%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction464435899safe397–531368–501765–1032safer378–549351–519729–1068
Pass accuracy %
24%
71%
homeawayprediction64.6069.50safe60.58–68.6365.17–73.82safer59.28–69.9363.86–75.13
Fouls
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9612.1522.11safe7.12–12.809.21–15.0916.33–27.89safer6.37–13.558.46–15.8414.82–29.40
Offsides
25%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.342.033.37safe0.18–2.500.93–3.121.12–5.62safer0.00–2.800.65–3.410.53–6.21
Yellow cards
29%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.582.093.67safe0.53–2.630.96–3.221.50–5.85safer0.27–2.900.67–3.510.94–6.41
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
48%
17%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.002.635.64safe1.57–4.441.08–4.192.64–8.63safer1.18–4.830.65–4.611.83–9.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.10 0.14–2.07 0.00–2.32 | 1.47 0.62–2.32 0.39–2.55 | 2.57 0.75–4.40 0.27–4.88 | 28% 26% 46% |
| Shots on target | 3.86 1.99–5.72 1.51–6.21 | 4.44 2.70–6.18 2.23–6.65 | 8.30 4.69–11.90 3.74–12.86 | 35% 14% 51% |
| Total shots | 12.10 8.18–16.02 7.08–17.12 | 13.24 9.68–16.80 8.72–17.76 | 25.34 17.85–32.83 15.80–34.88 | 37% 55% |
| Shots in box | 7.58 4.64–10.53 3.81–11.36 | 9.14 6.46–11.82 5.72–12.56 | 16.73 11.10–22.35 9.54–23.92 | 31% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 3.57 1.69–5.45 1.14–6.00 | 3.96 2.30–5.61 1.81–6.10 | 7.53 3.99–11.06 2.95–12.10 | 37% 15% 48% |
| Corners | 4.86 2.65–7.07 2.07–7.65 | 5.17 3.17–7.17 2.63–7.70 | 10.03 5.81–14.24 4.70–15.35 | 40% 47% |
| Possession % | 49.95 43.16–56.74 41.49–58.41 | 49.75 42.96–56.53 41.29–58.20 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 464 397–531 378–549 | 435 368–501 351–519 | 899 765–1032 729–1068 | 59% 40% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.60 60.58–68.63 59.28–69.93 | 69.50 65.17–73.82 63.86–75.13 | — | 24% 71% |
| Fouls | 9.96 7.12–12.80 6.37–13.55 | 12.15 9.21–15.09 8.46–15.84 | 22.11 16.33–27.89 14.82–29.40 | 28% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.34 0.18–2.50 0.00–2.80 | 2.03 0.93–3.12 0.65–3.41 | 3.37 1.12–5.62 0.53–6.21 | 25% 21% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.63 0.27–2.90 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.67 1.50–5.85 0.94–6.41 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.00 1.57–4.44 1.18–4.83 | 2.63 1.08–4.19 0.65–4.61 | 5.64 2.64–8.63 1.83–9.44 | 48% 17% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.