Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 29·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
23%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.840.962.79safe0.87–2.810.10–1.810.97–4.62safer0.62–3.060.00–2.040.49–5.10
Shots on target
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.543.338.87safe3.68–7.401.59–5.075.27–12.48safer3.19–7.891.12–5.544.31–13.43
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6710.6527.32safe12.75–20.607.08–14.2119.83–34.81safer11.66–21.696.13–15.1717.78–36.86
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction11.626.7118.33safe8.67–14.564.03–9.3912.71–23.95safer7.84–15.393.29–10.1311.14–25.52
Blocked shots
65%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.783.177.95safe2.89–6.661.52–4.824.41–11.48safer2.35–7.201.02–5.313.37–12.52
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.264.0410.29safe4.04–8.472.04–6.046.08–14.51safer3.47–9.041.50–6.574.97–15.61
Possession %
51%
45%
homeawayprediction51.0549.75safe44.26–57.8442.96–56.53safer42.59–59.5141.29–58.20
Passes
62%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction493456949safe426–561389–522815–1083safer408–579372–540780–1118
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction65.3970.64safe61.36–69.4266.32–74.96safer60.07–70.7165.01–76.27
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1710.6921.86safe8.33–14.017.74–13.6316.08–27.64safer7.58–14.767.00–14.3814.57–29.14
Offsides
53%
22%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.253.19safe0.78–3.100.16–2.340.94–5.44safer0.48–3.400.00–2.630.35–6.03
Yellow cards
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.603.11safe0.46–2.560.47–2.730.93–5.28safer0.19–2.820.18–3.020.37–5.84
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
23%
15%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.363.605.96safe0.92–3.792.05–5.162.97–8.96safer0.53–4.181.62–5.592.16–9.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.84 0.87–2.81 0.62–3.06 | 0.96 0.10–1.81 0.00–2.04 | 2.79 0.97–4.62 0.49–5.10 | 58% 23% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.54 3.68–7.40 3.19–7.89 | 3.33 1.59–5.07 1.12–5.54 | 8.87 5.27–12.48 4.31–13.43 | 72% 18% |
| Total shots | 16.67 12.75–20.60 11.66–21.69 | 10.65 7.08–14.21 6.13–15.17 | 27.32 19.83–34.81 17.78–36.86 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 11.62 8.67–14.56 7.84–15.39 | 6.71 4.03–9.39 3.29–10.13 | 18.33 12.71–23.95 11.14–25.52 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.78 2.89–6.66 2.35–7.20 | 3.17 1.52–4.82 1.02–5.31 | 7.95 4.41–11.48 3.37–12.52 | 65% 22% |
| Corners | 6.26 4.04–8.47 3.47–9.04 | 4.04 2.04–6.04 1.50–6.57 | 10.29 6.08–14.51 4.97–15.61 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 51.05 44.26–57.84 42.59–59.51 | 49.75 42.96–56.53 41.29–58.20 | — | 51% 45% |
| Passes | 493 426–561 408–579 | 456 389–522 372–540 | 949 815–1083 780–1118 | 62% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.39 61.36–69.42 60.07–70.71 | 70.64 66.32–74.96 65.01–76.27 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 11.17 8.33–14.01 7.58–14.76 | 10.69 7.74–13.63 7.00–14.38 | 21.86 16.08–27.64 14.57–29.14 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.78–3.10 0.48–3.40 | 1.25 0.16–2.34 0.00–2.63 | 3.19 0.94–5.44 0.35–6.03 | 53% 22% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.19–2.82 | 1.60 0.47–2.73 0.18–3.02 | 3.11 0.93–5.28 0.37–5.84 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.92–3.79 0.53–4.18 | 3.60 2.05–5.16 1.62–5.59 | 5.96 2.97–8.96 2.16–9.77 | 23% 15% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+