Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 10·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
24%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.072.75safe0.70–2.640.22–1.930.92–4.57safer0.45–2.890.00–2.160.44–5.05
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.193.738.92safe3.33–7.051.99–5.475.31–12.52safer2.84–7.541.52–5.944.36–13.48
Total shots
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6611.6126.28safe10.74–18.598.05–15.1818.79–33.76safer9.65–19.687.09–16.1416.74–35.81
Shots in box
67%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction9.717.4317.14safe6.77–12.654.75–10.1111.51–22.76safer5.94–13.484.01–10.859.95–24.33
Blocked shots
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.723.427.14safe1.84–5.601.76–5.073.60–10.67safer1.30–6.151.27–5.562.57–11.71
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction6.074.2210.29safe3.86–8.292.22–6.226.08–14.50safer3.29–8.861.68–6.754.97–15.61
Possession %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction53.8647.21safe47.07–60.6540.43–54.00safer45.40–62.3238.76–55.67
Passes
76%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction485401886safe418–552335–468753–1020safer400–570317–485717–1056
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction67.5468.94safe63.51–71.5764.62–73.26safer62.22–72.8663.31–74.57
Fouls
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3713.5323.89safe7.53–13.2010.58–16.4718.11–29.67safer6.77–13.969.83–17.2216.61–31.18
Offsides
39%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.962.013.97safe0.80–3.120.91–3.101.71–6.22safer0.50–3.420.62–3.391.12–6.81
Yellow cards
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.572.033.60safe0.52–2.610.91–3.161.42–5.78safer0.25–2.880.61–3.450.86–6.34
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.82
GK saves
30%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.593.315.90safe1.15–4.031.76–4.872.91–8.90safer0.77–4.411.33–5.302.10–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.67 0.70–2.64 0.45–2.89 | 1.07 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.75 0.92–4.57 0.44–5.05 | 51% 24% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.19 3.33–7.05 2.84–7.54 | 3.73 1.99–5.47 1.52–5.94 | 8.92 5.31–12.52 4.36–13.48 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 14.66 10.74–18.59 9.65–19.68 | 11.61 8.05–15.18 7.09–16.14 | 26.28 18.79–33.76 16.74–35.81 | 69% 24% |
| Shots in box | 9.71 6.77–12.65 5.94–13.48 | 7.43 4.75–10.11 4.01–10.85 | 17.14 11.51–22.76 9.95–24.33 | 67% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 3.72 1.84–5.60 1.30–6.15 | 3.42 1.76–5.07 1.27–5.56 | 7.14 3.60–10.67 2.57–11.71 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 6.07 3.86–8.29 3.29–8.86 | 4.22 2.22–6.22 1.68–6.75 | 10.29 6.08–14.50 4.97–15.61 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 53.86 47.07–60.65 45.40–62.32 | 47.21 40.43–54.00 38.76–55.67 | — | 63% 33% |
| Passes | 485 418–552 400–570 | 401 335–468 317–485 | 886 753–1020 717–1056 | 76% 24% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.54 63.51–71.57 62.22–72.86 | 68.94 64.62–73.26 63.31–74.57 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 10.37 7.53–13.20 6.77–13.96 | 13.53 10.58–16.47 9.83–17.22 | 23.89 18.11–29.67 16.61–31.18 | 23% 71% |
| Offsides | 1.96 0.80–3.12 0.50–3.42 | 2.01 0.91–3.10 0.62–3.39 | 3.97 1.71–6.22 1.12–6.81 | 39% 21% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.61 0.25–2.88 | 2.03 0.91–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 3.60 1.42–5.78 0.86–6.34 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.59 1.15–4.03 0.77–4.41 | 3.31 1.76–4.87 1.33–5.30 | 5.90 2.91–8.90 2.10–9.71 | 30% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.