Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 28·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
25%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.532.82safe0.32–2.260.67–2.380.99–4.64safer0.07–2.510.45–2.610.51–5.12
Shots on target
46%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.454.208.65safe2.58–6.312.46–5.945.04–12.25safer2.09–6.801.99–6.414.09–13.21
Total shots
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7811.6926.47safe10.85–18.708.13–15.2618.99–33.96safer9.76–19.807.17–16.2216.93–36.01
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction9.318.2417.54safe6.36–12.255.55–10.9211.92–23.16safer5.53–13.084.82–11.6510.35–24.73
Blocked shots
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.173.337.50safe2.29–6.061.68–4.983.97–11.04safer1.75–6.601.18–5.472.93–12.07
Corners
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.184.9710.15safe2.97–7.392.97–6.975.93–14.36safer2.39–7.972.43–7.504.83–15.47
Possession %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction49.6551.02safe42.86–56.4444.23–57.80safer41.19–58.1142.56–59.47
Passes
50%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction431431862safe363–498364–497728–995safer345–516347–515692–1031
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction63.5968.55safe59.56–67.6164.23–72.88safer58.26–68.9162.92–74.19
Fouls
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8310.9923.82safe10.00–15.678.05–13.9418.04–29.61safer9.24–16.437.30–14.6816.54–31.11
Offsides
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.813.86safe0.88–3.200.72–2.911.60–6.11safer0.58–3.510.43–3.191.01–6.70
Yellow cards
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.833.56safe0.68–2.780.70–2.961.38–5.74safer0.42–3.050.41–3.250.82–6.29
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.913.216.12safe1.48–4.351.66–4.773.13–9.12safer1.09–4.741.23–5.192.32–9.93
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.32–2.26 0.07–2.51 | 1.53 0.67–2.38 0.45–2.61 | 2.82 0.99–4.64 0.51–5.12 | 32% 25% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.45 2.58–6.31 2.09–6.80 | 4.20 2.46–5.94 1.99–6.41 | 8.65 5.04–12.25 4.09–13.21 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Total shots | 14.78 10.85–18.70 9.76–19.80 | 11.69 8.13–15.26 7.17–16.22 | 26.47 18.99–33.96 16.93–36.01 | 69% 24% |
| Shots in box | 9.31 6.36–12.25 5.53–13.08 | 8.24 5.55–10.92 4.82–11.65 | 17.54 11.92–23.16 10.35–24.73 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 4.17 2.29–6.06 1.75–6.60 | 3.33 1.68–4.98 1.18–5.47 | 7.50 3.97–11.04 2.93–12.07 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 5.18 2.97–7.39 2.39–7.97 | 4.97 2.97–6.97 2.43–7.50 | 10.15 5.93–14.36 4.83–15.47 | 46% 41% |
| Possession % | 49.65 42.86–56.44 41.19–58.11 | 51.02 44.23–57.80 42.56–59.47 | — | 44% 51% |
| Passes | 431 363–498 345–516 | 431 364–497 347–515 | 862 728–995 692–1031 | 50% 50% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.59 59.56–67.61 58.26–68.91 | 68.55 64.23–72.88 62.92–74.19 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 12.83 10.00–15.67 9.24–16.43 | 10.99 8.05–13.94 7.30–14.68 | 23.82 18.04–29.61 16.54–31.11 | 61% 32% |
| Offsides | 2.04 0.88–3.20 0.58–3.51 | 1.81 0.72–2.91 0.43–3.19 | 3.86 1.60–6.11 1.01–6.70 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.42–3.05 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.56 1.38–5.74 0.82–6.29 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.48–4.35 1.09–4.74 | 3.21 1.66–4.77 1.23–5.19 | 6.12 3.13–9.12 2.32–9.93 | 37% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.