Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 10·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.102.75safe0.69–2.620.25–1.950.93–4.58safer0.43–2.870.02–2.180.45–5.06
Shots on target
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.193.588.76safe3.32–7.051.84–5.325.16–12.37safer2.83–7.541.37–5.794.20–13.32
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1110.7126.82safe12.18–20.037.15–14.2819.34–34.31safer11.09–21.126.19–15.2417.28–36.36
Shots in box
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction10.187.2817.46safe7.24–13.124.60–9.9611.83–23.08safer6.41–13.953.86–10.7010.27–24.65
Blocked shots
63%
13%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.443.047.48safe2.56–6.321.38–4.693.94–11.01safer2.02–6.870.89–5.182.91–12.05
Corners
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.653.7710.42safe4.43–8.861.77–5.776.20–14.63safer3.86–9.431.24–6.305.10–15.74
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction57.7041.52safe50.91–64.4934.74–48.31safer49.24–66.1633.07–49.98
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction547392939safe480–614325–458805–1072safer462–632308–476769–1108
Pass accuracy %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction71.7367.17safe67.70–75.7662.85–71.50safer66.41–77.0561.54–72.80
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9411.7922.73safe8.11–13.788.84–14.7316.95–28.51safer7.35–14.548.09–15.4815.44–30.02
Offsides
56%
19%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.421.573.99safe1.26–3.580.48–2.671.74–6.25safer0.96–3.880.19–2.951.15–6.84
Yellow cards
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.562.133.70safe0.51–2.611.01–3.261.52–5.87safer0.25–2.880.71–3.550.96–6.43
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.703.326.03safe1.27–4.141.77–4.883.04–9.02safer0.88–4.531.34–5.302.22–9.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.65 0.69–2.62 0.43–2.87 | 1.10 0.25–1.95 0.02–2.18 | 2.75 0.93–4.58 0.45–5.06 | 50% 24% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.19 3.32–7.05 2.83–7.54 | 3.58 1.84–5.32 1.37–5.79 | 8.76 5.16–12.37 4.20–13.32 | 64% 24% |
| Total shots | 16.11 12.18–20.03 11.09–21.12 | 10.71 7.15–14.28 6.19–15.24 | 26.82 19.34–34.31 17.28–36.36 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 10.18 7.24–13.12 6.41–13.95 | 7.28 4.60–9.96 3.86–10.70 | 17.46 11.83–23.08 10.27–24.65 | 72% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.44 2.56–6.32 2.02–6.87 | 3.04 1.38–4.69 0.89–5.18 | 7.48 3.94–11.01 2.91–12.05 | 63% 13% 24% |
| Corners | 6.65 4.43–8.86 3.86–9.43 | 3.77 1.77–5.77 1.24–6.30 | 10.42 6.20–14.63 5.10–15.74 | 77% 14% |
| Possession % | 57.70 50.91–64.49 49.24–66.16 | 41.52 34.74–48.31 33.07–49.98 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 547 480–614 462–632 | 392 325–458 308–476 | 939 805–1072 769–1108 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.73 67.70–75.76 66.41–77.05 | 67.17 62.85–71.50 61.54–72.80 | — | 70% 26% |
| Fouls | 10.94 8.11–13.78 7.35–14.54 | 11.79 8.84–14.73 8.09–15.48 | 22.73 16.95–28.51 15.44–30.02 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.42 1.26–3.58 0.96–3.88 | 1.57 0.48–2.67 0.19–2.95 | 3.99 1.74–6.25 1.15–6.84 | 56% 19% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.25–2.88 | 2.13 1.01–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 3.70 1.52–5.87 0.96–6.43 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.70 1.27–4.14 0.88–4.53 | 3.32 1.77–4.88 1.34–5.30 | 6.03 3.04–9.02 2.22–9.83 | 32% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+