Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 18·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
25%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.502.81safe0.34–2.270.65–2.360.98–4.63safer0.08–2.520.42–2.590.50–5.11
Shots on target
36%
13%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.314.929.23safe2.45–6.173.18–6.675.63–12.84safer1.96–6.662.72–7.134.67–13.79
Total shots
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1214.1327.25safe9.20–17.0510.56–17.6919.76–34.74safer8.11–18.149.61–18.6517.71–36.79
Shots in box
39%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction8.439.0817.51safe5.49–11.386.40–11.7611.89–23.14safer4.66–12.215.66–12.5010.32–24.70
Blocked shots
32%
14%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.444.247.68safe1.55–5.322.59–5.904.14–11.21safer1.01–5.862.10–6.393.11–12.25
Corners
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.815.5810.39safe2.60–7.023.58–7.586.18–14.61safer2.02–7.603.05–8.125.07–15.71
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction43.0758.07safe36.28–49.8651.29–64.86safer34.61–51.5349.62–66.53
Passes
14%
86%
homeawaytotalprediction386515901safe319–454448–581767–1035safer301–472431–599732–1071
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction62.2375.04safe58.20–66.2670.71–79.36safer56.91–67.5569.40–80.67
Fouls
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3610.9422.30safe8.53–14.208.00–13.8916.52–28.09safer7.77–14.967.25–14.6315.02–29.59
Offsides
29%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.702.253.95safe0.54–2.861.16–3.351.70–6.21safer0.24–3.160.87–3.641.11–6.80
Yellow cards
46%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.071.753.82safe1.02–3.120.62–2.871.64–6.00safer0.76–3.390.33–3.171.08–6.55
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.270.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
44%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.102.946.04safe1.67–4.541.38–4.503.05–9.04safer1.28–4.930.96–4.922.24–9.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.34–2.27 0.08–2.52 | 1.50 0.65–2.36 0.42–2.59 | 2.81 0.98–4.63 0.50–5.11 | 33% 25% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.31 2.45–6.17 1.96–6.66 | 4.92 3.18–6.67 2.72–7.13 | 9.23 5.63–12.84 4.67–13.79 | 36% 13% 51% |
| Total shots | 13.12 9.20–17.05 8.11–18.14 | 14.13 10.56–17.69 9.61–18.65 | 27.25 19.76–34.74 17.71–36.79 | 39% 54% |
| Shots in box | 8.43 5.49–11.38 4.66–12.21 | 9.08 6.40–11.76 5.66–12.50 | 17.51 11.89–23.14 10.32–24.70 | 39% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 3.44 1.55–5.32 1.01–5.86 | 4.24 2.59–5.90 2.10–6.39 | 7.68 4.14–11.21 3.11–12.25 | 32% 14% 54% |
| Corners | 4.81 2.60–7.02 2.02–7.60 | 5.58 3.58–7.58 3.05–8.12 | 10.39 6.18–14.61 5.07–15.71 | 35% 53% |
| Possession % | 43.07 36.28–49.86 34.61–51.53 | 58.07 51.29–64.86 49.62–66.53 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 386 319–454 301–472 | 515 448–581 431–599 | 901 767–1035 732–1071 | 14% 86% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.23 58.20–66.26 56.91–67.55 | 75.04 70.71–79.36 69.40–80.67 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 11.36 8.53–14.20 7.77–14.96 | 10.94 8.00–13.89 7.25–14.63 | 22.30 16.52–28.09 15.02–29.59 | 49% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.24–3.16 | 2.25 1.16–3.35 0.87–3.64 | 3.95 1.70–6.21 1.11–6.80 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 2.07 1.02–3.12 0.76–3.39 | 1.75 0.62–2.87 0.33–3.17 | 3.82 1.64–6.00 1.08–6.55 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.10 1.67–4.54 1.28–4.93 | 2.94 1.38–4.50 0.96–4.92 | 6.04 3.05–9.04 2.24–9.85 | 44% 17% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.