Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 10·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
22%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.933.19safe0.29–2.221.08–2.791.36–5.01safer0.03–2.470.85–3.010.88–5.49
Shots on target
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.365.499.85safe2.49–6.223.75–7.236.24–13.45safer2.00–6.713.28–7.705.29–14.41
Total shots
36%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5315.0128.54safe9.61–17.4611.45–18.5721.05–36.03safer8.52–18.5510.49–19.5319.00–38.08
Shots in box
29%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction8.5410.3818.92safe5.60–11.487.70–13.0613.29–24.54safer4.77–12.316.96–13.8011.73–26.11
Blocked shots
38%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.834.167.99safe1.95–5.722.50–5.814.45–11.52safer1.41–6.262.01–6.303.42–12.56
Corners
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.785.7810.55safe2.56–6.993.78–7.786.34–14.77safer1.99–7.563.25–8.315.23–15.88
Possession %
21%
76%
homeawayprediction43.8756.58safe37.08–50.6649.79–63.36safer35.41–52.3348.12–65.03
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction398517915safe331–465451–584782–1049safer313–483433–601746–1085
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction65.7477.05safe61.71–69.7772.73–81.37safer60.42–71.0671.42–82.68
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2312.2122.44safe7.39–13.079.27–15.1616.66–28.22safer6.64–13.828.52–15.9015.15–29.73
Offsides
39%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.002.044.04safe0.84–3.160.95–3.131.79–6.29safer0.54–3.460.66–3.421.20–6.88
Yellow cards
37%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.903.67safe0.72–2.820.77–3.031.49–5.84safer0.45–3.080.48–3.320.93–6.40
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
50%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.593.076.66safe2.15–5.021.51–4.633.66–9.65safer1.76–5.411.09–5.052.85–10.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.29–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 1.93 1.08–2.79 0.85–3.01 | 3.19 1.36–5.01 0.88–5.49 | 25% 22% 53% |
| Shots on target | 4.36 2.49–6.22 2.00–6.71 | 5.49 3.75–7.23 3.28–7.70 | 9.85 6.24–13.45 5.29–14.41 | 30% 58% |
| Total shots | 13.53 9.61–17.46 8.52–18.55 | 15.01 11.45–18.57 10.49–19.53 | 28.54 21.05–36.03 19.00–38.08 | 36% 57% |
| Shots in box | 8.54 5.60–11.48 4.77–12.31 | 10.38 7.70–13.06 6.96–13.80 | 18.92 13.29–24.54 11.73–26.11 | 29% 62% |
| Blocked shots | 3.83 1.95–5.72 1.41–6.26 | 4.16 2.50–5.81 2.01–6.30 | 7.99 4.45–11.52 3.42–12.56 | 38% 14% 47% |
| Corners | 4.78 2.56–6.99 1.99–7.56 | 5.78 3.78–7.78 3.25–8.31 | 10.55 6.34–14.77 5.23–15.88 | 32% 56% |
| Possession % | 43.87 37.08–50.66 35.41–52.33 | 56.58 49.79–63.36 48.12–65.03 | — | 21% 76% |
| Passes | 398 331–465 313–483 | 517 451–584 433–601 | 915 782–1049 746–1085 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.74 61.71–69.77 60.42–71.06 | 77.05 72.73–81.37 71.42–82.68 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 10.23 7.39–13.07 6.64–13.82 | 12.21 9.27–15.16 8.52–15.90 | 22.44 16.66–28.22 15.15–29.73 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 2.00 0.84–3.16 0.54–3.46 | 2.04 0.95–3.13 0.66–3.42 | 4.04 1.79–6.29 1.20–6.88 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.72–2.82 0.45–3.08 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.67 1.49–5.84 0.93–6.40 | 37% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.59 2.15–5.02 1.76–5.41 | 3.07 1.51–4.63 1.09–5.05 | 6.66 3.66–9.65 2.85–10.46 | 50% 15% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+