Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 34·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
20%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.191.063.25safe1.22–3.160.20–1.911.42–5.07safer0.97–3.410.00–2.140.94–5.55
Shots on target
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.533.8910.42safe4.66–8.392.15–5.646.81–14.02safer4.17–8.881.68–6.105.86–14.98
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction17.4210.6328.06safe13.50–21.357.07–14.2020.57–35.54safer12.41–22.446.11–15.1618.52–37.59
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction12.217.0119.22safe9.26–15.154.33–9.6913.60–24.84safer8.43–15.983.59–10.4312.03–26.41
Blocked shots
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.232.918.14safe3.35–7.111.26–4.564.61–11.68safer2.81–7.660.76–5.063.57–12.71
Corners
79%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction7.063.9210.98safe4.84–9.271.92–5.926.77–15.19safer4.27–9.851.39–6.465.66–16.30
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.8640.73safe53.07–66.6533.95–47.51safer51.40–68.3232.27–49.19
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction576356932safe508–643290–423798–1065safer490–661272–440762–1101
Pass accuracy %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction76.0369.74safe72.01–80.0665.41–74.06safer70.71–81.3664.10–75.37
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4910.7722.27safe8.65–14.337.83–13.7216.48–28.05safer7.90–15.097.08–14.4714.98–29.55
Offsides
46%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.773.86safe0.94–3.260.67–2.861.61–6.12safer0.63–3.560.38–3.151.02–6.71
Yellow cards
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.773.30safe0.48–2.580.64–2.901.12–5.48safer0.22–2.850.35–3.190.57–6.04
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.080.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.75
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.644.086.73safe1.21–4.082.53–5.643.73–9.72safer0.82–4.472.10–6.072.92–10.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.19 1.22–3.16 0.97–3.41 | 1.06 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 3.25 1.42–5.07 0.94–5.55 | 63% 20% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.53 4.66–8.39 4.17–8.88 | 3.89 2.15–5.64 1.68–6.10 | 10.42 6.81–14.02 5.86–14.98 | 75% 16% |
| Total shots | 17.42 13.50–21.35 12.41–22.44 | 10.63 7.07–14.20 6.11–15.16 | 28.06 20.57–35.54 18.52–37.59 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 12.21 9.26–15.15 8.43–15.98 | 7.01 4.33–9.69 3.59–10.43 | 19.22 13.60–24.84 12.03–26.41 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 5.23 3.35–7.11 2.81–7.66 | 2.91 1.26–4.56 0.76–5.06 | 8.14 4.61–11.68 3.57–12.71 | 74% 16% |
| Corners | 7.06 4.84–9.27 4.27–9.85 | 3.92 1.92–5.92 1.39–6.46 | 10.98 6.77–15.19 5.66–16.30 | 79% 13% |
| Possession % | 59.86 53.07–66.65 51.40–68.32 | 40.73 33.95–47.51 32.27–49.19 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 576 508–643 490–661 | 356 290–423 272–440 | 932 798–1065 762–1101 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.03 72.01–80.06 70.71–81.36 | 69.74 65.41–74.06 64.10–75.37 | — | 77% 19% |
| Fouls | 11.49 8.65–14.33 7.90–15.09 | 10.77 7.83–13.72 7.08–14.47 | 22.27 16.48–28.05 14.98–29.55 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 2.10 0.94–3.26 0.63–3.56 | 1.77 0.67–2.86 0.38–3.15 | 3.86 1.61–6.12 1.02–6.71 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.22–2.85 | 1.77 0.64–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 3.30 1.12–5.48 0.57–6.04 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.64 1.21–4.08 0.82–4.47 | 4.08 2.53–5.64 2.10–6.07 | 6.73 3.73–9.72 2.92–10.53 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+