Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 11·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
25%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.312.81safe0.53–2.470.46–2.170.99–4.63safer0.28–2.720.23–2.400.51–5.11
Shots on target
49%
13%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.884.419.29safe3.02–6.742.67–6.155.69–12.90safer2.53–7.232.20–6.624.73–13.85
Total shots
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3413.7029.04safe11.41–19.2610.14–17.2721.55–36.53safer10.32–20.369.18–18.2219.50–38.58
Shots in box
53%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction9.508.6618.16safe6.55–12.445.98–11.3412.54–23.78safer5.72–13.275.25–12.0810.97–25.35
Blocked shots
54%
13%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.613.848.45safe2.73–6.492.19–5.494.91–11.98safer2.18–7.031.69–5.983.88–13.02
Corners
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.255.0710.32safe3.04–7.473.07–7.076.11–14.54safer2.47–8.042.54–7.605.00–15.64
Possession %
38%
58%
homeawayprediction48.2652.64safe41.47–55.0545.85–59.42safer39.80–56.7244.18–61.09
Passes
42%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction421445867safe354–489379–512733–1000safer336–507361–529697–1036
Pass accuracy %
14%
82%
homeawayprediction63.1870.90safe59.15–67.2166.58–75.23safer57.86–68.5065.27–76.53
Fouls
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5210.7424.25safe10.68–16.367.79–13.6818.47–30.04safer9.93–17.117.04–14.4316.97–31.54
Offsides
44%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.633.49safe0.70–3.020.54–2.721.23–5.74safer0.40–3.320.25–3.010.64–6.33
Yellow cards
48%
21%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.141.713.85safe1.09–3.190.58–2.841.67–6.03safer0.82–3.460.29–3.131.11–6.58
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
40%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.993.126.11safe1.56–4.431.56–4.673.12–9.10safer1.17–4.821.14–5.102.30–9.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.53–2.47 0.28–2.72 | 1.31 0.46–2.17 0.23–2.40 | 2.81 0.99–4.63 0.51–5.11 | 42% 25% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.88 3.02–6.74 2.53–7.23 | 4.41 2.67–6.15 2.20–6.62 | 9.29 5.69–12.90 4.73–13.85 | 49% 13% 37% |
| Total shots | 15.34 11.41–19.26 10.32–20.36 | 13.70 10.14–17.27 9.18–18.22 | 29.04 21.55–36.53 19.50–38.58 | 58% 35% |
| Shots in box | 9.50 6.55–12.44 5.72–13.27 | 8.66 5.98–11.34 5.25–12.08 | 18.16 12.54–23.78 10.97–25.35 | 53% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 4.61 2.73–6.49 2.18–7.03 | 3.84 2.19–5.49 1.69–5.98 | 8.45 4.91–11.98 3.88–13.02 | 54% 13% 33% |
| Corners | 5.25 3.04–7.47 2.47–8.04 | 5.07 3.07–7.07 2.54–7.60 | 10.32 6.11–14.54 5.00–15.64 | 46% 41% |
| Possession % | 48.26 41.47–55.05 39.80–56.72 | 52.64 45.85–59.42 44.18–61.09 | — | 38% 58% |
| Passes | 421 354–489 336–507 | 445 379–512 361–529 | 867 733–1000 697–1036 | 42% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.18 59.15–67.21 57.86–68.50 | 70.90 66.58–75.23 65.27–76.53 | — | 14% 82% |
| Fouls | 13.52 10.68–16.36 9.93–17.11 | 10.74 7.79–13.68 7.04–14.43 | 24.25 18.47–30.04 16.97–31.54 | 68% 25% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 1.63 0.54–2.72 0.25–3.01 | 3.49 1.23–5.74 0.64–6.33 | 44% 22% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 2.14 1.09–3.19 0.82–3.46 | 1.71 0.58–2.84 0.29–3.13 | 3.85 1.67–6.03 1.11–6.58 | 48% 21% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.99 1.56–4.43 1.17–4.82 | 3.12 1.56–4.67 1.14–5.10 | 6.11 3.12–9.10 2.30–9.91 | 40% 16% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.