Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 26·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
25%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.162.73safe0.60–2.540.31–2.020.91–4.56safer0.35–2.790.08–2.240.43–5.04
Shots on target
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.204.769.96safe3.34–7.073.01–6.506.35–13.56safer2.85–7.552.55–6.965.40–14.52
Total shots
69%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2313.0629.30safe12.31–20.169.50–16.6321.81–36.78safer11.22–21.258.54–17.5919.76–38.83
Shots in box
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction10.668.1818.84safe7.72–13.615.50–10.8613.22–24.47safer6.89–14.444.76–11.6011.65–26.03
Blocked shots
50%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.333.808.13safe2.45–6.212.15–5.454.59–11.66safer1.90–6.751.65–5.943.56–12.70
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.924.8210.73safe3.70–8.132.82–6.826.52–14.95safer3.13–8.702.29–7.355.41–16.05
Possession %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction53.3346.56safe46.54–60.1239.78–53.35safer44.87–61.7938.10–55.02
Passes
65%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction456411867safe389–524344–477734–1001safer371–542327–495698–1037
Pass accuracy %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction66.2569.01safe62.22–70.2864.69–73.34safer60.93–71.5763.38–74.65
Fouls
14%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction9.5014.1523.65safe6.66–12.3311.21–17.1017.87–29.43safer5.90–13.0910.46–17.8516.37–30.94
Offsides
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.843.65safe0.65–2.970.75–2.931.39–5.90safer0.35–3.270.46–3.220.80–6.49
Yellow cards
24%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.412.213.62safe0.36–2.461.08–3.341.44–5.80safer0.10–2.730.79–3.630.89–6.36
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.873.296.16safe1.43–4.301.74–4.853.17–9.15safer1.04–4.691.31–5.282.36–9.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.57 0.60–2.54 0.35–2.79 | 1.16 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.24 | 2.73 0.91–4.56 0.43–5.04 | 47% 25% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.20 3.34–7.07 2.85–7.55 | 4.76 3.01–6.50 2.55–6.96 | 9.96 6.35–13.56 5.40–14.52 | 49% 38% |
| Total shots | 16.23 12.31–20.16 11.22–21.25 | 13.06 9.50–16.63 8.54–17.59 | 29.30 21.81–36.78 19.76–38.83 | 69% 25% |
| Shots in box | 10.66 7.72–13.61 6.89–14.44 | 8.18 5.50–10.86 4.76–11.60 | 18.84 13.22–24.47 11.65–26.03 | 68% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 4.33 2.45–6.21 1.90–6.75 | 3.80 2.15–5.45 1.65–5.94 | 8.13 4.59–11.66 3.56–12.70 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Corners | 5.92 3.70–8.13 3.13–8.70 | 4.82 2.82–6.82 2.29–7.35 | 10.73 6.52–14.95 5.41–16.05 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 53.33 46.54–60.12 44.87–61.79 | 46.56 39.78–53.35 38.10–55.02 | — | 63% 32% |
| Passes | 456 389–524 371–542 | 411 344–477 327–495 | 867 734–1001 698–1037 | 65% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.25 62.22–70.28 60.93–71.57 | 69.01 64.69–73.34 63.38–74.65 | — | 34% 61% |
| Fouls | 9.50 6.66–12.33 5.90–13.09 | 14.15 11.21–17.10 10.46–17.85 | 23.65 17.87–29.43 16.37–30.94 | 14% 80% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.84 0.75–2.93 0.46–3.22 | 3.65 1.39–5.90 0.80–6.49 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.41 0.36–2.46 0.10–2.73 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 3.62 1.44–5.80 0.89–6.36 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.87 1.43–4.30 1.04–4.69 | 3.29 1.74–4.85 1.31–5.28 | 6.16 3.17–9.15 2.36–9.97 | 35% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.