Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 11·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
22%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.073.05safe1.01–2.940.22–1.931.22–4.87safer0.76–3.190.00–2.150.74–5.35
Shots on target
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.073.779.84safe4.21–7.942.02–5.516.23–13.44safer3.72–8.421.56–5.975.28–14.40
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9511.5126.46safe11.03–18.887.95–15.0718.98–33.95safer9.94–19.976.99–16.0316.92–36.00
Shots in box
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction11.397.7319.12safe8.45–14.335.05–10.4113.49–24.74safer7.62–15.164.31–11.1511.93–26.31
Blocked shots
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.183.357.54safe2.30–6.071.70–5.014.00–11.07safer1.76–6.611.21–5.502.97–12.11
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.743.869.60safe3.52–7.951.86–5.875.39–13.82safer2.95–8.531.33–6.404.28–14.92
Possession %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction53.9547.23safe47.16–60.7440.44–54.01safer45.49–62.4138.77–55.68
Passes
77%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction524434958safe457–592367–500824–1092safer439–610350–518789–1127
Pass accuracy %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction73.0073.72safe68.97–77.0369.40–78.05safer67.68–78.3368.09–79.36
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8012.3523.14safe7.96–13.639.40–15.2917.36–28.93safer7.20–14.398.66–16.0415.86–30.43
Offsides
69%
14%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction3.501.845.35safe2.34–4.660.75–2.943.09–7.60safer2.04–4.970.46–3.222.50–8.19
Yellow cards
27%
20%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.562.233.78safe0.51–2.601.10–3.351.60–5.96safer0.24–2.870.81–3.651.05–6.52
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
27%
15%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.713.726.44safe1.27–4.152.17–5.283.44–9.43safer0.89–4.531.74–5.712.63–10.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.97 1.01–2.94 0.76–3.19 | 1.07 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.15 | 3.05 1.22–4.87 0.74–5.35 | 58% 22% 20% |
| Shots on target | 6.07 4.21–7.94 3.72–8.42 | 3.77 2.02–5.51 1.56–5.97 | 9.84 6.23–13.44 5.28–14.40 | 72% 18% |
| Total shots | 14.95 11.03–18.88 9.94–19.97 | 11.51 7.95–15.07 6.99–16.03 | 26.46 18.98–33.95 16.92–36.00 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 11.39 8.45–14.33 7.62–15.16 | 7.73 5.05–10.41 4.31–11.15 | 19.12 13.49–24.74 11.93–26.31 | 77% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.18 2.30–6.07 1.76–6.61 | 3.35 1.70–5.01 1.21–5.50 | 7.54 4.00–11.07 2.97–12.11 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 5.74 3.52–7.95 2.95–8.53 | 3.86 1.86–5.87 1.33–6.40 | 9.60 5.39–13.82 4.28–14.92 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 53.95 47.16–60.74 45.49–62.41 | 47.23 40.44–54.01 38.77–55.68 | — | 63% 32% |
| Passes | 524 457–592 439–610 | 434 367–500 350–518 | 958 824–1092 789–1127 | 77% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.00 68.97–77.03 67.68–78.33 | 73.72 69.40–78.05 68.09–79.36 | — | 44% 51% |
| Fouls | 10.80 7.96–13.63 7.20–14.39 | 12.35 9.40–15.29 8.66–16.04 | 23.14 17.36–28.93 15.86–30.43 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 3.50 2.34–4.66 2.04–4.97 | 1.84 0.75–2.94 0.46–3.22 | 5.35 3.09–7.60 2.50–8.19 | 69% 14% 17% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.60 0.24–2.87 | 2.23 1.10–3.35 0.81–3.65 | 3.78 1.60–5.96 1.05–6.52 | 27% 20% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.71 1.27–4.15 0.89–4.53 | 3.72 2.17–5.28 1.74–5.71 | 6.44 3.44–9.43 2.63–10.24 | 27% 15% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+