Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 23·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.773.20safe0.46–2.400.91–2.621.38–5.02safer0.21–2.650.68–2.850.90–5.50
Shots on target
40%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.905.2210.12safe3.04–6.763.48–6.966.52–13.73safer2.55–7.253.01–7.435.56–14.68
Total shots
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5212.9227.44safe10.59–18.449.36–16.4819.95–34.92safer9.50–19.538.40–17.4417.90–36.97
Shots in box
41%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction9.239.6718.89safe6.29–12.176.98–12.3513.27–24.52safer5.46–13.006.25–13.0811.70–26.08
Blocked shots
44%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.873.767.63safe1.99–5.752.11–5.414.10–11.17safer1.45–6.301.62–5.913.06–12.20
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.805.2210.02safe2.58–7.013.22–7.225.81–14.24safer2.01–7.592.69–7.764.70–15.34
Possession %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction47.0753.84safe40.28–53.8647.06–60.63safer38.61–55.5345.39–62.30
Passes
31%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction434493927safe367–501426–559793–1060safer348–519409–577757–1096
Pass accuracy %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction69.6076.22safe65.57–73.6371.90–80.55safer64.27–74.9270.59–81.85
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6411.1522.79safe8.80–14.488.21–14.1017.01–28.57safer8.05–15.237.46–14.8515.50–30.08
Offsides
17%
14%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction1.803.465.27safe0.64–2.962.37–4.563.01–7.52safer0.34–3.262.08–4.852.42–8.11
Yellow cards
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.843.87safe0.98–3.080.71–2.971.69–6.04safer0.71–3.340.42–3.261.13–6.60
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.153.206.36safe1.72–4.591.65–4.763.36–9.35safer1.33–4.981.22–5.182.55–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.43 0.46–2.40 0.21–2.65 | 1.77 0.91–2.62 0.68–2.85 | 3.20 1.38–5.02 0.90–5.50 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.90 3.04–6.76 2.55–7.25 | 5.22 3.48–6.96 3.01–7.43 | 10.12 6.52–13.73 5.56–14.68 | 40% 48% |
| Total shots | 14.52 10.59–18.44 9.50–19.53 | 12.92 9.36–16.48 8.40–17.44 | 27.44 19.95–34.92 17.90–36.97 | 58% 34% |
| Shots in box | 9.23 6.29–12.17 5.46–13.00 | 9.67 6.98–12.35 6.25–13.08 | 18.89 13.27–24.52 11.70–26.08 | 41% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 3.87 1.99–5.75 1.45–6.30 | 3.76 2.11–5.41 1.62–5.91 | 7.63 4.10–11.17 3.06–12.20 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Corners | 4.80 2.58–7.01 2.01–7.59 | 5.22 3.22–7.22 2.69–7.76 | 10.02 5.81–14.24 4.70–15.34 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 47.07 40.28–53.86 38.61–55.53 | 53.84 47.06–60.63 45.39–62.30 | — | 32% 63% |
| Passes | 434 367–501 348–519 | 493 426–559 409–577 | 927 793–1060 757–1096 | 31% 69% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.60 65.57–73.63 64.27–74.92 | 76.22 71.90–80.55 70.59–81.85 | — | 18% 79% |
| Fouls | 11.64 8.80–14.48 8.05–15.23 | 11.15 8.21–14.10 7.46–14.85 | 22.79 17.01–28.57 15.50–30.08 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.34–3.26 | 3.46 2.37–4.56 2.08–4.85 | 5.27 3.01–7.52 2.42–8.11 | 17% 14% 69% |
| Yellow cards | 2.03 0.98–3.08 0.71–3.34 | 1.84 0.71–2.97 0.42–3.26 | 3.87 1.69–6.04 1.13–6.60 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.15 1.72–4.59 1.33–4.98 | 3.20 1.65–4.76 1.22–5.18 | 6.36 3.36–9.35 2.55–10.16 | 41% 16% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+