Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 11·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
26%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.092.56safe0.50–2.440.24–1.940.74–4.38safer0.25–2.690.01–2.170.26–4.86
Shots on target
59%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.753.568.31safe2.89–6.621.81–5.304.71–11.92safer2.40–7.111.35–5.773.75–12.87
Total shots
77%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3510.2424.59safe10.42–18.276.68–13.8017.10–32.08safer9.33–19.365.72–14.7615.05–34.13
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.557.0616.61safe6.61–12.504.38–9.7410.99–22.24safer5.78–13.333.64–10.489.42–23.80
Blocked shots
58%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.852.846.68safe1.96–5.731.18–4.493.15–10.22safer1.42–6.270.69–4.982.11–11.25
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.444.329.76safe3.23–7.652.32–6.325.55–13.97safer2.65–8.231.79–6.854.44–15.08
Possession %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction52.0047.88safe45.21–58.7941.09–54.66safer43.54–60.4639.42–56.33
Passes
61%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction436401838safe369–504335–468704–971safer351–522317–485668–1007
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction62.8566.64safe58.82–66.8862.32–70.97safer57.53–68.1761.01–72.27
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6812.6226.30safe10.84–16.519.67–15.5620.51–32.08safer10.08–17.278.93–16.3119.01–33.58
Offsides
19%
18%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.382.593.96safe0.22–2.541.49–3.681.71–6.22safer0.00–2.841.21–3.971.12–6.81
Yellow cards
39%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.192.254.43safe1.14–3.241.12–3.372.25–6.61safer0.87–3.500.83–3.671.70–7.17
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
29%
17%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.363.125.48safe0.92–3.801.57–4.682.49–8.47safer0.54–4.181.14–5.101.68–9.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.47 0.50–2.44 0.25–2.69 | 1.09 0.24–1.94 0.01–2.17 | 2.56 0.74–4.38 0.26–4.86 | 46% 26% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.75 2.89–6.62 2.40–7.11 | 3.56 1.81–5.30 1.35–5.77 | 8.31 4.71–11.92 3.75–12.87 | 59% 28% |
| Total shots | 14.35 10.42–18.27 9.33–19.36 | 10.24 6.68–13.80 5.72–14.76 | 24.59 17.10–32.08 15.05–34.13 | 77% 18% |
| Shots in box | 9.55 6.61–12.50 5.78–13.33 | 7.06 4.38–9.74 3.64–10.48 | 16.61 10.99–22.24 9.42–23.80 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 3.85 1.96–5.73 1.42–6.27 | 2.84 1.18–4.49 0.69–4.98 | 6.68 3.15–10.22 2.11–11.25 | 58% 15% 28% |
| Corners | 5.44 3.23–7.65 2.65–8.23 | 4.32 2.32–6.32 1.79–6.85 | 9.76 5.55–13.97 4.44–15.08 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 52.00 45.21–58.79 43.54–60.46 | 47.88 41.09–54.66 39.42–56.33 | — | 57% 38% |
| Passes | 436 369–504 351–522 | 401 335–468 317–485 | 838 704–971 668–1007 | 61% 38% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.85 58.82–66.88 57.53–68.17 | 66.64 62.32–70.97 61.01–72.27 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 13.68 10.84–16.51 10.08–17.27 | 12.62 9.67–15.56 8.93–16.31 | 26.30 20.51–32.08 19.01–33.58 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.38 0.22–2.54 0.00–2.84 | 2.59 1.49–3.68 1.21–3.97 | 3.96 1.71–6.22 1.12–6.81 | 19% 18% 64% |
| Yellow cards | 2.19 1.14–3.24 0.87–3.50 | 2.25 1.12–3.37 0.83–3.67 | 4.43 2.25–6.61 1.70–7.17 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.92–3.80 0.54–4.18 | 3.12 1.57–4.68 1.14–5.10 | 5.48 2.49–8.47 1.68–9.29 | 29% 17% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.