Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 33·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
26%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.312.62safe0.35–2.280.46–2.170.80–4.45safer0.09–2.530.23–2.390.32–4.93
Shots on target
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.864.137.99safe1.99–5.722.39–5.884.39–11.60safer1.51–6.211.93–6.343.43–12.55
Total shots
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3912.7025.09safe8.46–16.319.14–16.2617.60–32.58safer7.37–17.408.18–17.2215.55–34.63
Shots in box
42%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction8.078.4116.47safe5.12–11.015.72–11.0910.85–22.09safer4.29–11.844.99–11.829.28–23.66
Blocked shots
36%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.383.867.25safe1.50–5.262.21–5.523.71–10.78safer0.96–5.811.72–6.012.68–11.82
Corners
46%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.355.1910.54safe3.14–7.563.19–7.196.32–14.75safer2.56–8.142.65–7.725.22–15.86
Possession %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction48.6351.08safe41.84–55.4244.30–57.87safer40.17–57.0942.63–59.54
Passes
47%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction426435861safe359–493368–501727–995safer341–511351–519692–1030
Pass accuracy %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction61.9768.77safe57.94–66.0064.45–73.09safer56.65–67.2963.14–74.40
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4812.9325.41safe9.64–15.329.98–15.8719.62–31.19safer8.88–16.079.24–16.6218.12–32.69
Offsides
67%
16%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.761.334.09safe1.60–3.920.24–2.431.84–6.34safer1.30–4.220.00–2.711.25–6.93
Yellow cards
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.042.234.27safe0.99–3.091.11–3.362.10–6.45safer0.72–3.360.81–3.651.54–7.01
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
45%
18%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.752.525.28safe1.32–4.190.97–4.082.28–8.27safer0.93–4.580.54–4.501.47–9.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.35–2.28 0.09–2.53 | 1.31 0.46–2.17 0.23–2.39 | 2.62 0.80–4.45 0.32–4.93 | 37% 26% 37% |
| Shots on target | 3.86 1.99–5.72 1.51–6.21 | 4.13 2.39–5.88 1.93–6.34 | 7.99 4.39–11.60 3.43–12.55 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Total shots | 12.39 8.46–16.31 7.37–17.40 | 12.70 9.14–16.26 8.18–17.22 | 25.09 17.60–32.58 15.55–34.63 | 44% 48% |
| Shots in box | 8.07 5.12–11.01 4.29–11.84 | 8.41 5.72–11.09 4.99–11.82 | 16.47 10.85–22.09 9.28–23.66 | 42% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 3.38 1.50–5.26 0.96–5.81 | 3.86 2.21–5.52 1.72–6.01 | 7.25 3.71–10.78 2.68–11.82 | 36% 15% 50% |
| Corners | 5.35 3.14–7.56 2.56–8.14 | 5.19 3.19–7.19 2.65–7.72 | 10.54 6.32–14.75 5.22–15.86 | 46% 42% |
| Possession % | 48.63 41.84–55.42 40.17–57.09 | 51.08 44.30–57.87 42.63–59.54 | — | 42% 53% |
| Passes | 426 359–493 341–511 | 435 368–501 351–519 | 861 727–995 692–1030 | 47% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.97 57.94–66.00 56.65–67.29 | 68.77 64.45–73.09 63.14–74.40 | — | 17% 79% |
| Fouls | 12.48 9.64–15.32 8.88–16.07 | 12.93 9.98–15.87 9.24–16.62 | 25.41 19.62–31.19 18.12–32.69 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 2.76 1.60–3.92 1.30–4.22 | 1.33 0.24–2.43 0.00–2.71 | 4.09 1.84–6.34 1.25–6.93 | 67% 16% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 2.04 0.99–3.09 0.72–3.36 | 2.23 1.11–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 4.27 2.10–6.45 1.54–7.01 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.75 1.32–4.19 0.93–4.58 | 2.52 0.97–4.08 0.54–4.50 | 5.28 2.28–8.27 1.47–9.08 | 45% 18% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.