Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 11·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
28%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.132.35safe0.25–2.180.28–1.990.52–4.17safer0.00–2.430.05–2.210.04–4.65
Shots on target
51%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.113.537.65safe2.25–5.981.79–5.284.04–11.25safer1.76–6.471.33–5.743.09–12.21
Total shots
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6111.3823.99safe8.68–16.537.82–14.9516.50–31.48safer7.59–17.626.86–15.9114.45–33.53
Shots in box
52%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction8.487.7916.26safe5.53–11.425.11–10.4710.64–21.89safer4.70–12.254.37–11.219.07–23.46
Blocked shots
46%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.463.246.70safe1.58–5.351.58–4.893.17–10.24safer1.04–5.891.09–5.382.13–11.27
Corners
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.874.869.73safe2.66–7.092.86–6.865.52–13.95safer2.09–7.662.33–7.404.41–15.06
Possession %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction51.2648.44safe44.47–58.0541.65–55.22safer42.80–59.7239.98–56.90
Passes
72%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction466395861safe399–533328–461727–995safer381–551311–479691–1030
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction62.8264.74safe58.79–66.8560.42–69.07safer57.50–68.1459.11–70.37
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9912.5224.51safe9.16–14.839.57–15.4618.73–30.29safer8.40–15.598.82–16.2117.22–31.80
Offsides
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.913.46safe0.39–2.710.82–3.001.21–5.71safer0.09–3.010.53–3.290.62–6.30
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.933.78safe0.80–2.900.80–3.061.60–5.96safer0.53–3.160.51–3.351.04–6.51
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
36%
18%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.542.835.37safe1.10–3.981.27–4.382.37–8.36safer0.72–4.360.85–4.811.56–9.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 0.25–2.18 0.00–2.43 | 1.13 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.21 | 2.35 0.52–4.17 0.04–4.65 | 38% 28% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.11 2.25–5.98 1.76–6.47 | 3.53 1.79–5.28 1.33–5.74 | 7.65 4.04–11.25 3.09–12.21 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Total shots | 12.61 8.68–16.53 7.59–17.62 | 11.38 7.82–14.95 6.86–15.91 | 23.99 16.50–31.48 14.45–33.53 | 56% 36% |
| Shots in box | 8.48 5.53–11.42 4.70–12.25 | 7.79 5.11–10.47 4.37–11.21 | 16.26 10.64–21.89 9.07–23.46 | 52% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 3.46 1.58–5.35 1.04–5.89 | 3.24 1.58–4.89 1.09–5.38 | 6.70 3.17–10.24 2.13–11.27 | 46% 16% 39% |
| Corners | 4.87 2.66–7.09 2.09–7.66 | 4.86 2.86–6.86 2.33–7.40 | 9.73 5.52–13.95 4.41–15.06 | 44% 43% |
| Possession % | 51.26 44.47–58.05 42.80–59.72 | 48.44 41.65–55.22 39.98–56.90 | — | 54% 41% |
| Passes | 466 399–533 381–551 | 395 328–461 311–479 | 861 727–995 691–1030 | 72% 27% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.82 58.79–66.85 57.50–68.14 | 64.74 60.42–69.07 59.11–70.37 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 11.99 9.16–14.83 8.40–15.59 | 12.52 9.57–15.46 8.82–16.21 | 24.51 18.73–30.29 17.22–31.80 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.09–3.01 | 1.91 0.82–3.00 0.53–3.29 | 3.46 1.21–5.71 0.62–6.30 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.80–2.90 0.53–3.16 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.78 1.60–5.96 1.04–6.51 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.54 1.10–3.98 0.72–4.36 | 2.83 1.27–4.38 0.85–4.81 | 5.37 2.37–8.36 1.56–9.17 | 36% 18% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.