Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 27·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
27%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.350.992.35safe0.39–2.320.14–1.840.52–4.17safer0.14–2.570.00–2.070.04–4.65
Shots on target
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.493.477.96safe2.63–6.351.72–5.214.35–11.56safer2.14–6.841.26–5.673.40–12.52
Total shots
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7711.6724.44safe8.84–16.698.11–15.2416.95–31.93safer7.75–17.787.15–16.2014.90–33.98
Shots in box
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction8.977.3316.30safe6.03–11.914.65–10.0110.68–21.93safer5.20–12.743.91–10.759.11–23.49
Blocked shots
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.383.036.41safe1.49–5.261.38–4.692.87–9.95safer0.95–5.800.89–5.181.84–10.98
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.584.359.93safe3.37–7.792.35–6.355.72–14.14safer2.79–8.371.82–6.884.61–15.25
Possession %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction49.9750.10safe43.18–56.7643.32–56.89safer41.51–58.4341.65–58.56
Passes
42%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction424448872safe357–491382–515739–1006safer339–509364–532703–1042
Pass accuracy %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction62.0866.86safe58.05–66.1162.54–71.19safer56.76–67.4161.23–72.50
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0112.2324.23safe9.17–14.859.28–15.1718.45–30.02safer8.41–15.608.53–15.9216.95–31.52
Offsides
49%
21%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.553.60safe0.89–3.210.45–2.641.34–5.85safer0.59–3.510.16–2.930.75–6.44
Yellow cards
33%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.973.64safe0.61–2.710.85–3.101.46–5.81safer0.35–2.980.55–3.400.90–6.37
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
31%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.423.045.46safe0.98–3.851.49–4.602.47–8.45safer0.59–4.241.06–5.031.66–9.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.39–2.32 0.14–2.57 | 0.99 0.14–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 2.35 0.52–4.17 0.04–4.65 | 45% 27% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.49 2.63–6.35 2.14–6.84 | 3.47 1.72–5.21 1.26–5.67 | 7.96 4.35–11.56 3.40–12.52 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Total shots | 12.77 8.84–16.69 7.75–17.78 | 11.67 8.11–15.24 7.15–16.20 | 24.44 16.95–31.93 14.90–33.98 | 55% 37% |
| Shots in box | 8.97 6.03–11.91 5.20–12.74 | 7.33 4.65–10.01 3.91–10.75 | 16.30 10.68–21.93 9.11–23.49 | 61% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 3.38 1.49–5.26 0.95–5.80 | 3.03 1.38–4.69 0.89–5.18 | 6.41 2.87–9.95 1.84–10.98 | 47% 16% 37% |
| Corners | 5.58 3.37–7.79 2.79–8.37 | 4.35 2.35–6.35 1.82–6.88 | 9.93 5.72–14.14 4.61–15.25 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 49.97 43.18–56.76 41.51–58.43 | 50.10 43.32–56.89 41.65–58.56 | — | 47% 48% |
| Passes | 424 357–491 339–509 | 448 382–515 364–532 | 872 739–1006 703–1042 | 42% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.08 58.05–66.11 56.76–67.41 | 66.86 62.54–71.19 61.23–72.50 | — | 25% 71% |
| Fouls | 12.01 9.17–14.85 8.41–15.60 | 12.23 9.28–15.17 8.53–15.92 | 24.23 18.45–30.02 16.95–31.52 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 2.05 0.89–3.21 0.59–3.51 | 1.55 0.45–2.64 0.16–2.93 | 3.60 1.34–5.85 0.75–6.44 | 49% 21% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.35–2.98 | 1.97 0.85–3.10 0.55–3.40 | 3.64 1.46–5.81 0.90–6.37 | 33% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.42 0.98–3.85 0.59–4.24 | 3.04 1.49–4.60 1.06–5.03 | 5.46 2.47–8.45 1.66–9.27 | 31% 17% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.