Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 11·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
25%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.162.78safe0.65–2.580.31–2.020.96–4.60safer0.39–2.830.08–2.250.48–5.08
Shots on target
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.514.429.93safe3.65–7.372.68–6.166.32–13.53safer3.16–7.862.21–6.635.37–14.49
Total shots
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5712.2627.83safe11.64–19.498.70–15.8220.34–35.31safer10.55–20.587.74–16.7818.29–37.36
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction10.677.7618.43safe7.73–13.615.08–10.4412.80–24.05safer6.90–14.444.34–11.1811.24–25.62
Blocked shots
51%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.333.788.12safe2.45–6.222.13–5.444.58–11.65safer1.91–6.761.64–5.933.55–12.69
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.004.2910.28safe3.78–8.212.29–6.296.07–14.50safer3.21–8.791.75–6.824.96–15.60
Possession %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction47.6452.98safe40.85–54.4346.20–59.77safer39.18–56.1044.52–61.44
Passes
40%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction460490950safe393–527424–557817–1084safer375–545406–574781–1120
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction65.0872.33safe61.05–69.1168.00–76.65safer59.76–70.4166.69–77.96
Fouls
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9010.7021.60safe8.06–13.737.76–13.6415.81–27.38safer7.30–14.497.01–14.3914.31–28.88
Offsides
47%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.363.12safe0.60–2.920.26–2.450.86–5.37safer0.30–3.220.00–2.740.27–5.96
Yellow cards
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.782.193.97safe0.73–2.831.06–3.321.79–6.15safer0.47–3.100.77–3.611.23–6.71
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
31%
15%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.833.576.39safe1.39–4.262.01–5.123.40–9.38safer1.00–4.651.59–5.552.59–10.20
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.61 0.65–2.58 0.39–2.83 | 1.16 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.25 | 2.78 0.96–4.60 0.48–5.08 | 48% 25% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.51 3.65–7.37 3.16–7.86 | 4.42 2.68–6.16 2.21–6.63 | 9.93 6.32–13.53 5.37–14.49 | 57% 31% |
| Total shots | 15.57 11.64–19.49 10.55–20.58 | 12.26 8.70–15.82 7.74–16.78 | 27.83 20.34–35.31 18.29–37.36 | 70% 23% |
| Shots in box | 10.67 7.73–13.61 6.90–14.44 | 7.76 5.08–10.44 4.34–11.18 | 18.43 12.80–24.05 11.24–25.62 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.33 2.45–6.22 1.91–6.76 | 3.78 2.13–5.44 1.64–5.93 | 8.12 4.58–11.65 3.55–12.69 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Corners | 6.00 3.78–8.21 3.21–8.79 | 4.29 2.29–6.29 1.75–6.82 | 10.28 6.07–14.50 4.96–15.60 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 47.64 40.85–54.43 39.18–56.10 | 52.98 46.20–59.77 44.52–61.44 | — | 35% 60% |
| Passes | 460 393–527 375–545 | 490 424–557 406–574 | 950 817–1084 781–1120 | 40% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.08 61.05–69.11 59.76–70.41 | 72.33 68.00–76.65 66.69–77.96 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 10.90 8.06–13.73 7.30–14.49 | 10.70 7.76–13.64 7.01–14.39 | 21.60 15.81–27.38 14.31–28.88 | 47% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.36 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 3.12 0.86–5.37 0.27–5.96 | 47% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.47–3.10 | 2.19 1.06–3.32 0.77–3.61 | 3.97 1.79–6.15 1.23–6.71 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.83 1.39–4.26 1.00–4.65 | 3.57 2.01–5.12 1.59–5.55 | 6.39 3.40–9.38 2.59–10.20 | 31% 15% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.