Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 23·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.553.15safe0.64–2.570.69–2.401.33–4.98safer0.39–2.830.46–2.630.85–5.46
Shots on target
48%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.814.449.25safe2.94–6.672.70–6.195.65–12.86safer2.45–7.162.24–6.654.69–13.81
Total shots
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3012.6927.00safe10.38–18.239.13–16.2519.51–34.48safer9.29–19.328.17–17.2117.46–36.53
Shots in box
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction9.108.7317.83safe6.16–12.056.05–11.4112.21–23.46safer5.33–12.885.31–12.1510.64–25.02
Blocked shots
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.113.978.09safe2.23–6.002.32–5.634.55–11.62safer1.69–6.541.83–6.123.52–12.66
Corners
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.314.469.77safe3.10–7.532.46–6.465.56–13.98safer2.53–8.101.92–6.994.45–15.09
Possession %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction54.4646.24safe47.67–61.2539.46–53.03safer46.00–62.9237.79–54.70
Passes
84%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction526406932safe459–593340–473799–1066safer441–612322–490763–1102
Pass accuracy %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction67.0268.23safe62.99–71.0563.91–72.56safer61.70–72.3462.60–73.87
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0112.0123.02safe8.17–13.859.06–14.9517.24–28.80safer7.42–14.608.32–15.7015.73–30.31
Offsides
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.913.42safe0.35–2.670.81–3.001.16–5.67safer0.05–2.970.53–3.290.57–6.26
Yellow cards
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.552.133.68safe0.50–2.601.00–3.261.50–5.86safer0.24–2.870.71–3.550.95–6.42
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
37%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.973.266.24safe1.54–4.411.70–4.823.24–9.23safer1.15–4.801.28–5.242.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.61 0.64–2.57 0.39–2.83 | 1.55 0.69–2.40 0.46–2.63 | 3.15 1.33–4.98 0.85–5.46 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.81 2.94–6.67 2.45–7.16 | 4.44 2.70–6.19 2.24–6.65 | 9.25 5.65–12.86 4.69–13.81 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Total shots | 14.30 10.38–18.23 9.29–19.32 | 12.69 9.13–16.25 8.17–17.21 | 27.00 19.51–34.48 17.46–36.53 | 58% 34% |
| Shots in box | 9.10 6.16–12.05 5.33–12.88 | 8.73 6.05–11.41 5.31–12.15 | 17.83 12.21–23.46 10.64–25.02 | 49% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 4.11 2.23–6.00 1.69–6.54 | 3.97 2.32–5.63 1.83–6.12 | 8.09 4.55–11.62 3.52–12.66 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Corners | 5.31 3.10–7.53 2.53–8.10 | 4.46 2.46–6.46 1.92–6.99 | 9.77 5.56–13.98 4.45–15.09 | 54% 33% |
| Possession % | 54.46 47.67–61.25 46.00–62.92 | 46.24 39.46–53.03 37.79–54.70 | — | 67% 29% |
| Passes | 526 459–593 441–612 | 406 340–473 322–490 | 932 799–1066 763–1102 | 84% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.02 62.99–71.05 61.70–72.34 | 68.23 63.91–72.56 62.60–73.87 | — | 41% 54% |
| Fouls | 11.01 8.17–13.85 7.42–14.60 | 12.01 9.06–14.95 8.32–15.70 | 23.02 17.24–28.80 15.73–30.31 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.05–2.97 | 1.91 0.81–3.00 0.53–3.29 | 3.42 1.16–5.67 0.57–6.26 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.60 0.24–2.87 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 3.68 1.50–5.86 0.95–6.42 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.97 1.54–4.41 1.15–4.80 | 3.26 1.70–4.82 1.28–5.24 | 6.24 3.24–9.23 2.43–10.04 | 37% 16% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.