Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 11·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
23%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.052.82safe0.80–2.740.20–1.911.00–4.64safer0.55–2.990.00–2.130.52–5.12
Shots on target
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.323.749.06safe3.46–7.182.00–5.485.45–12.66safer2.97–7.671.53–5.954.50–13.62
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8310.9025.73safe10.90–18.757.34–14.4618.24–33.21safer9.81–19.846.38–15.4216.19–35.26
Shots in box
72%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction10.047.0917.13safe7.10–12.984.41–9.7711.51–22.75safer6.27–13.813.67–10.519.94–24.32
Blocked shots
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.013.707.71safe2.12–5.892.05–5.364.18–11.25safer1.58–6.431.56–5.853.14–12.28
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.083.9410.02safe3.87–8.291.94–5.945.81–14.23safer3.29–8.871.41–6.474.70–15.34
Possession %
53%
43%
homeawayprediction51.7749.67safe44.98–58.5642.89–56.46safer43.31–60.2341.21–58.13
Passes
62%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction495459954safe428–562392–525820–1087safer409–580375–543784–1123
Pass accuracy %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction68.6270.72safe64.59–72.6566.40–75.05safer63.30–73.9465.09–76.35
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2311.7221.95safe7.39–13.078.77–14.6616.16–27.73safer6.64–13.828.02–15.4114.66–29.23
Offsides
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.893.78safe0.74–3.060.79–2.981.53–6.04safer0.44–3.360.50–3.270.94–6.63
Yellow cards
31%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.763.19safe0.38–2.480.63–2.891.01–5.37safer0.12–2.750.34–3.180.45–5.93
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.573.405.97safe1.14–4.011.84–4.952.98–8.96safer0.75–4.401.41–5.382.16–9.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.77 0.80–2.74 0.55–2.99 | 1.05 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.13 | 2.82 1.00–4.64 0.52–5.12 | 54% 23% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.32 3.46–7.18 2.97–7.67 | 3.74 2.00–5.48 1.53–5.95 | 9.06 5.45–12.66 4.50–13.62 | 64% 24% |
| Total shots | 14.83 10.90–18.75 9.81–19.84 | 10.90 7.34–14.46 6.38–15.42 | 25.73 18.24–33.21 16.19–35.26 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 10.04 7.10–12.98 6.27–13.81 | 7.09 4.41–9.77 3.67–10.51 | 17.13 11.51–22.75 9.94–24.32 | 72% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 4.01 2.12–5.89 1.58–6.43 | 3.70 2.05–5.36 1.56–5.85 | 7.71 4.18–11.25 3.14–12.28 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 6.08 3.87–8.29 3.29–8.87 | 3.94 1.94–5.94 1.41–6.47 | 10.02 5.81–14.23 4.70–15.34 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 51.77 44.98–58.56 43.31–60.23 | 49.67 42.89–56.46 41.21–58.13 | — | 53% 43% |
| Passes | 495 428–562 409–580 | 459 392–525 375–543 | 954 820–1087 784–1123 | 62% 38% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.62 64.59–72.65 63.30–73.94 | 70.72 66.40–75.05 65.09–76.35 | — | 37% 58% |
| Fouls | 10.23 7.39–13.07 6.64–13.82 | 11.72 8.77–14.66 8.02–15.41 | 21.95 16.16–27.73 14.66–29.23 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.44–3.36 | 1.89 0.79–2.98 0.50–3.27 | 3.78 1.53–6.04 0.94–6.63 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.38–2.48 0.12–2.75 | 1.76 0.63–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 3.19 1.01–5.37 0.45–5.93 | 31% 23% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.57 1.14–4.01 0.75–4.40 | 3.40 1.84–4.95 1.41–5.38 | 5.97 2.98–8.96 2.16–9.77 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+