Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 34·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
25%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.492.79safe0.33–2.270.63–2.340.96–4.61safer0.08–2.520.40–2.570.48–5.09
Shots on target
39%
13%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.564.929.48safe2.70–6.423.18–6.665.88–13.09safer2.21–6.912.71–7.134.92–14.04
Total shots
51%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3313.7428.07safe10.40–18.2510.17–17.3020.58–35.55safer9.31–19.359.21–18.2618.53–37.60
Shots in box
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction8.999.2218.21safe6.04–11.936.54–11.9112.59–23.83safer5.21–12.765.81–12.6411.02–25.40
Blocked shots
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.973.187.15safe2.08–5.851.53–4.843.61–10.68safer1.54–6.391.04–5.332.58–11.72
Corners
45%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.225.0810.30safe3.01–7.433.08–7.086.08–14.51safer2.43–8.012.55–7.614.98–15.62
Possession %
54%
42%
homeawayprediction51.3748.85safe44.58–58.1642.06–55.63safer42.91–59.8340.39–57.30
Passes
58%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction474450924safe407–541384–517790–1058safer389–559366–534755–1093
Pass accuracy %
33%
63%
homeawayprediction67.8370.80safe63.80–71.8666.48–75.13safer62.51–73.1565.17–76.44
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3910.5120.90safe7.55–13.227.57–13.4615.11–26.68safer6.79–13.986.82–14.2013.61–28.18
Offsides
39%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.951.963.90safe0.79–3.110.86–3.051.65–6.16safer0.49–3.410.58–3.341.06–6.75
Yellow cards
34%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.593.02safe0.37–2.470.46–2.720.84–5.19safer0.11–2.740.17–3.010.28–5.75
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
41%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.093.136.22safe1.66–4.531.57–4.683.23–9.21safer1.27–4.921.15–5.112.41–10.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.33–2.27 0.08–2.52 | 1.49 0.63–2.34 0.40–2.57 | 2.79 0.96–4.61 0.48–5.09 | 33% 25% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.56 2.70–6.42 2.21–6.91 | 4.92 3.18–6.66 2.71–7.13 | 9.48 5.88–13.09 4.92–14.04 | 39% 13% 48% |
| Total shots | 14.33 10.40–18.25 9.31–19.35 | 13.74 10.17–17.30 9.21–18.26 | 28.07 20.58–35.55 18.53–37.60 | 51% 42% |
| Shots in box | 8.99 6.04–11.93 5.21–12.76 | 9.22 6.54–11.91 5.81–12.64 | 18.21 12.59–23.83 11.02–25.40 | 43% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 3.97 2.08–5.85 1.54–6.39 | 3.18 1.53–4.84 1.04–5.33 | 7.15 3.61–10.68 2.58–11.72 | 54% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.22 3.01–7.43 2.43–8.01 | 5.08 3.08–7.08 2.55–7.61 | 10.30 6.08–14.51 4.98–15.62 | 45% 42% |
| Possession % | 51.37 44.58–58.16 42.91–59.83 | 48.85 42.06–55.63 40.39–57.30 | — | 54% 42% |
| Passes | 474 407–541 389–559 | 450 384–517 366–534 | 924 790–1058 755–1093 | 58% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.83 63.80–71.86 62.51–73.15 | 70.80 66.48–75.13 65.17–76.44 | — | 33% 63% |
| Fouls | 10.39 7.55–13.22 6.79–13.98 | 10.51 7.57–13.46 6.82–14.20 | 20.90 15.11–26.68 13.61–28.18 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.95 0.79–3.11 0.49–3.41 | 1.96 0.86–3.05 0.58–3.34 | 3.90 1.65–6.16 1.06–6.75 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 1.59 0.46–2.72 0.17–3.01 | 3.02 0.84–5.19 0.28–5.75 | 34% 24% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.09 1.66–4.53 1.27–4.92 | 3.13 1.57–4.68 1.15–5.11 | 6.22 3.23–9.21 2.41–10.02 | 41% 16% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.