Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 11·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
24%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.062.72safe0.69–2.630.20–1.910.90–4.54safer0.44–2.880.00–2.140.42–5.02
Shots on target
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.523.879.39safe3.65–7.382.13–5.615.78–13.00safer3.17–7.871.66–6.084.83–13.95
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5410.4727.01safe12.62–20.476.91–14.0419.53–34.50safer11.52–21.565.95–15.0017.48–36.55
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.547.2517.79safe7.60–13.484.57–9.9312.16–23.41safer6.77–14.313.83–10.6610.60–24.98
Blocked shots
61%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.623.297.91safe2.73–6.501.64–4.944.37–11.44safer2.19–7.041.14–5.433.34–12.48
Corners
73%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.393.9310.32safe4.17–8.601.93–5.936.11–14.54safer3.60–9.171.40–6.475.00–15.64
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.7045.22safe47.91–61.4938.44–52.00safer46.24–63.1636.76–53.68
Passes
83%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction518402920safe450–585336–469786–1053safer432–603318–486750–1089
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction72.3371.12safe68.30–76.3666.79–75.44safer67.00–77.6565.49–76.75
Fouls
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3910.9822.37safe8.55–14.238.04–13.9316.59–28.16safer7.80–14.987.29–14.6815.09–29.66
Offsides
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.693.57safe0.72–3.040.60–2.781.32–5.82safer0.42–3.340.31–3.070.73–6.41
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.813.43safe0.57–2.670.68–2.931.25–5.61safer0.31–2.940.39–3.230.69–6.17
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.803.536.33safe1.37–4.241.97–5.083.34–9.32safer0.98–4.631.54–5.512.52–10.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.66 0.69–2.63 0.44–2.88 | 1.06 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 2.72 0.90–4.54 0.42–5.02 | 52% 24% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.52 3.65–7.38 3.17–7.87 | 3.87 2.13–5.61 1.66–6.08 | 9.39 5.78–13.00 4.83–13.95 | 64% 24% |
| Total shots | 16.54 12.62–20.47 11.52–21.56 | 10.47 6.91–14.04 5.95–15.00 | 27.01 19.53–34.50 17.48–36.55 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 10.54 7.60–13.48 6.77–14.31 | 7.25 4.57–9.93 3.83–10.66 | 17.79 12.16–23.41 10.60–24.98 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.62 2.73–6.50 2.19–7.04 | 3.29 1.64–4.94 1.14–5.43 | 7.91 4.37–11.44 3.34–12.48 | 61% 26% |
| Corners | 6.39 4.17–8.60 3.60–9.17 | 3.93 1.93–5.93 1.40–6.47 | 10.32 6.11–14.54 5.00–15.64 | 73% 18% |
| Possession % | 54.70 47.91–61.49 46.24–63.16 | 45.22 38.44–52.00 36.76–53.68 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 518 450–585 432–603 | 402 336–469 318–486 | 920 786–1053 750–1089 | 83% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.33 68.30–76.36 67.00–77.65 | 71.12 66.79–75.44 65.49–76.75 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 11.39 8.55–14.23 7.80–14.98 | 10.98 8.04–13.93 7.29–14.68 | 22.37 16.59–28.16 15.09–29.66 | 49% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 1.69 0.60–2.78 0.31–3.07 | 3.57 1.32–5.82 0.73–6.41 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.67 0.31–2.94 | 1.81 0.68–2.93 0.39–3.23 | 3.43 1.25–5.61 0.69–6.17 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.80 1.37–4.24 0.98–4.63 | 3.53 1.97–5.08 1.54–5.51 | 6.33 3.34–9.32 2.52–10.13 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.