Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 32·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.602.97safe0.40–2.340.75–2.461.15–4.79safer0.15–2.590.52–2.680.67–5.27
Shots on target
40%
13%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.634.929.55safe2.77–6.493.18–6.665.95–13.16safer2.28–6.982.71–7.134.99–14.12
Total shots
49%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8113.4727.28safe9.88–17.739.91–17.0419.80–34.77safer8.79–18.838.95–18.0017.75–36.82
Shots in box
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction8.789.2818.06safe5.83–11.726.60–11.9612.43–23.68safer5.00–12.555.86–12.7010.87–25.25
Blocked shots
44%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.703.617.31safe1.82–5.591.95–5.263.78–10.85safer1.28–6.131.46–5.752.74–11.88
Corners
45%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.395.2710.66safe3.18–7.603.27–7.276.44–14.87safer2.60–8.182.73–7.805.34–15.98
Possession %
37%
59%
homeawayprediction47.4752.31safe40.68–54.2645.53–59.10safer39.01–55.9343.85–60.77
Passes
34%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction434484918safe367–501418–551785–1052safer349–519400–568749–1088
Pass accuracy %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction68.3874.97safe64.35–72.4170.64–79.29safer63.06–73.7169.33–80.60
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0511.9622.01safe7.21–12.899.01–14.9016.23–27.79safer6.46–13.658.27–15.6514.72–29.30
Offsides
45%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.061.803.86safe0.90–3.220.70–2.891.61–6.12safer0.60–3.530.42–3.181.02–6.71
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.883.60safe0.67–2.770.75–3.011.42–5.78safer0.40–3.030.46–3.300.86–6.33
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
43%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.233.156.38safe1.80–4.671.60–4.713.39–9.38safer1.41–5.061.17–5.132.58–10.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.40–2.34 0.15–2.59 | 1.60 0.75–2.46 0.52–2.68 | 2.97 1.15–4.79 0.67–5.27 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.63 2.77–6.49 2.28–6.98 | 4.92 3.18–6.66 2.71–7.13 | 9.55 5.95–13.16 4.99–14.12 | 40% 13% 47% |
| Total shots | 13.81 9.88–17.73 8.79–18.83 | 13.47 9.91–17.04 8.95–18.00 | 27.28 19.80–34.77 17.75–36.82 | 49% 44% |
| Shots in box | 8.78 5.83–11.72 5.00–12.55 | 9.28 6.60–11.96 5.86–12.70 | 18.06 12.43–23.68 10.87–25.25 | 41% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 3.70 1.82–5.59 1.28–6.13 | 3.61 1.95–5.26 1.46–5.75 | 7.31 3.78–10.85 2.74–11.88 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Corners | 5.39 3.18–7.60 2.60–8.18 | 5.27 3.27–7.27 2.73–7.80 | 10.66 6.44–14.87 5.34–15.98 | 45% 42% |
| Possession % | 47.47 40.68–54.26 39.01–55.93 | 52.31 45.53–59.10 43.85–60.77 | — | 37% 59% |
| Passes | 434 367–501 349–519 | 484 418–551 400–568 | 918 785–1052 749–1088 | 34% 66% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.38 64.35–72.41 63.06–73.71 | 74.97 70.64–79.29 69.33–80.60 | — | 18% 78% |
| Fouls | 10.05 7.21–12.89 6.46–13.65 | 11.96 9.01–14.90 8.27–15.65 | 22.01 16.23–27.79 14.72–29.30 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 2.06 0.90–3.22 0.60–3.53 | 1.80 0.70–2.89 0.42–3.18 | 3.86 1.61–6.12 1.02–6.71 | 45% 21% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.40–3.03 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.60 1.42–5.78 0.86–6.33 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.23 1.80–4.67 1.41–5.06 | 3.15 1.60–4.71 1.17–5.13 | 6.38 3.39–9.38 2.58–10.19 | 43% 16% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+