Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 11·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.382.87safe0.52–2.460.52–2.231.05–4.69safer0.27–2.710.30–2.460.57–5.17
Shots on target
47%
13%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.904.669.56safe3.03–6.762.92–6.405.95–13.16safer2.54–7.252.45–6.874.99–14.12
Total shots
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5913.0327.62safe10.67–18.529.46–16.5920.13–35.11safer9.58–19.618.50–17.5518.08–37.16
Shots in box
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction9.138.6317.76safe6.19–12.085.95–11.3112.14–23.39safer5.36–12.905.21–12.0510.57–24.95
Blocked shots
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.123.267.39safe2.24–6.011.61–4.913.85–10.92safer1.70–6.551.12–5.412.82–11.96
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.784.6710.45safe3.56–7.992.67–6.676.24–14.66safer2.99–8.562.14–7.215.13–15.77
Possession %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction49.0451.00safe42.25–55.8344.21–57.78safer40.58–57.5042.54–59.45
Passes
44%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction440456896safe373–507390–523763–1030safer355–525372–540727–1066
Pass accuracy %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction67.2173.45safe63.18–71.2469.12–77.77safer61.88–72.5367.81–79.08
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1211.7723.89safe9.28–14.968.82–14.7118.11–29.67safer8.53–15.718.07–15.4616.60–31.17
Offsides
44%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.503.26safe0.60–2.920.40–2.591.01–5.51safer0.30–3.220.11–2.880.42–6.10
Yellow cards
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.933.53safe0.55–2.650.80–3.061.35–5.71safer0.29–2.920.51–3.350.79–6.26
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.923.186.09safe1.48–4.351.62–4.733.10–9.09safer1.09–4.741.20–5.162.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.52–2.46 0.27–2.71 | 1.38 0.52–2.23 0.30–2.46 | 2.87 1.05–4.69 0.57–5.17 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.90 3.03–6.76 2.54–7.25 | 4.66 2.92–6.40 2.45–6.87 | 9.56 5.95–13.16 4.99–14.12 | 47% 13% 40% |
| Total shots | 14.59 10.67–18.52 9.58–19.61 | 13.03 9.46–16.59 8.50–17.55 | 27.62 20.13–35.11 18.08–37.16 | 58% 35% |
| Shots in box | 9.13 6.19–12.08 5.36–12.90 | 8.63 5.95–11.31 5.21–12.05 | 17.76 12.14–23.39 10.57–24.95 | 50% 41% |
| Blocked shots | 4.12 2.24–6.01 1.70–6.55 | 3.26 1.61–4.91 1.12–5.41 | 7.39 3.85–10.92 2.82–11.96 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 5.78 3.56–7.99 2.99–8.56 | 4.67 2.67–6.67 2.14–7.21 | 10.45 6.24–14.66 5.13–15.77 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 49.04 42.25–55.83 40.58–57.50 | 51.00 44.21–57.78 42.54–59.45 | — | 43% 52% |
| Passes | 440 373–507 355–525 | 456 390–523 372–540 | 896 763–1030 727–1066 | 44% 55% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.21 63.18–71.24 61.88–72.53 | 73.45 69.12–77.77 67.81–79.08 | — | 19% 77% |
| Fouls | 12.12 9.28–14.96 8.53–15.71 | 11.77 8.82–14.71 8.07–15.46 | 23.89 18.11–29.67 16.60–31.17 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.50 0.40–2.59 0.11–2.88 | 3.26 1.01–5.51 0.42–6.10 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.29–2.92 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.53 1.35–5.71 0.79–6.26 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.92 1.48–4.35 1.09–4.74 | 3.18 1.62–4.73 1.20–5.16 | 6.09 3.10–9.09 2.29–9.90 | 38% 16% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+