Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 20·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.293.10safe0.85–2.780.43–2.141.28–4.92safer0.60–3.030.20–2.370.80–5.40
Shots on target
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.404.549.94safe3.54–7.262.80–6.286.33–13.54safer3.05–7.752.33–6.755.38–14.50
Total shots
69%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6312.5028.12safe11.70–19.558.93–16.0620.64–35.61safer10.61–20.647.98–17.0218.59–37.66
Shots in box
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction10.228.3118.53safe7.28–13.175.62–10.9912.91–24.15safer6.45–13.994.89–11.7211.34–25.72
Blocked shots
47%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.273.958.22safe2.39–6.152.30–5.614.69–11.76safer1.84–6.691.81–6.103.65–12.79
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.564.439.99safe3.35–7.782.43–6.435.78–14.21safer2.78–8.351.90–6.964.67–15.31
Possession %
64%
31%
homeawayprediction54.0646.86safe47.27–60.8540.08–53.65safer45.60–62.5238.40–55.32
Passes
76%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction493409902safe426–560342–475768–1036safer408–579325–493733–1071
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction70.4370.54safe66.40–74.4666.22–74.86safer65.11–75.7564.91–76.17
Fouls
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3813.2224.60safe8.54–14.2210.27–16.1618.82–30.38safer7.79–14.979.53–16.9117.31–31.89
Offsides
38%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.703.36safe0.50–2.820.61–2.801.11–5.62safer0.20–3.120.32–3.090.52–6.21
Yellow cards
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.783.19safe0.36–2.460.65–2.911.01–5.36safer0.09–2.720.36–3.200.45–5.92
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
43%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.283.186.46safe1.84–4.711.63–4.743.47–9.45safer1.45–5.101.20–5.162.66–10.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.81 0.85–2.78 0.60–3.03 | 1.29 0.43–2.14 0.20–2.37 | 3.10 1.28–4.92 0.80–5.40 | 50% 23% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.40 3.54–7.26 3.05–7.75 | 4.54 2.80–6.28 2.33–6.75 | 9.94 6.33–13.54 5.38–14.50 | 54% 33% |
| Total shots | 15.63 11.70–19.55 10.61–20.64 | 12.50 8.93–16.06 7.98–17.02 | 28.12 20.64–35.61 18.59–37.66 | 69% 25% |
| Shots in box | 10.22 7.28–13.17 6.45–13.99 | 8.31 5.62–10.99 4.89–11.72 | 18.53 12.91–24.15 11.34–25.72 | 63% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 4.27 2.39–6.15 1.84–6.69 | 3.95 2.30–5.61 1.81–6.10 | 8.22 4.69–11.76 3.65–12.79 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Corners | 5.56 3.35–7.78 2.78–8.35 | 4.43 2.43–6.43 1.90–6.96 | 9.99 5.78–14.21 4.67–15.31 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 54.06 47.27–60.85 45.60–62.52 | 46.86 40.08–53.65 38.40–55.32 | — | 64% 31% |
| Passes | 493 426–560 408–579 | 409 342–475 325–493 | 902 768–1036 733–1071 | 76% 24% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.43 66.40–74.46 65.11–75.75 | 70.54 66.22–74.86 64.91–76.17 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 11.38 8.54–14.22 7.79–14.97 | 13.22 10.27–16.16 9.53–16.91 | 24.60 18.82–30.38 17.31–31.89 | 32% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.70 0.61–2.80 0.32–3.09 | 3.36 1.11–5.62 0.52–6.21 | 38% 23% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.41 0.36–2.46 0.09–2.72 | 1.78 0.65–2.91 0.36–3.20 | 3.19 1.01–5.36 0.45–5.92 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.28 1.84–4.71 1.45–5.10 | 3.18 1.63–4.74 1.20–5.16 | 6.46 3.47–9.45 2.66–10.27 | 43% 16% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.