Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 18·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
28%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.122.39safe0.30–2.240.27–1.970.57–4.22safer0.05–2.490.04–2.200.09–4.70
Shots on target
49%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.293.898.18safe2.43–6.152.15–5.634.57–11.78safer1.94–6.641.68–6.103.62–12.74
Total shots
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0811.9726.05safe10.16–18.018.41–15.5318.57–33.54safer9.07–19.107.45–16.4916.52–35.59
Shots in box
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction9.707.8417.54safe6.76–12.645.16–10.5211.91–23.16safer5.93–13.474.42–11.2610.35–24.73
Blocked shots
50%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.443.908.34safe2.56–6.322.25–5.554.80–11.87safer2.01–6.861.75–6.043.77–12.91
Corners
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.554.6910.24safe3.34–7.762.69–6.696.03–14.46safer2.76–8.342.16–7.234.92–15.56
Possession %
32%
64%
homeawayprediction46.6453.62safe39.85–53.4346.83–60.40safer38.18–55.1045.16–62.08
Passes
36%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction419462880safe351–486395–528747–1014safer333–504378–546711–1050
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction63.2771.85safe59.24–67.3067.52–76.17safer57.95–68.5966.21–77.48
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9712.0425.01safe10.13–15.809.10–14.9919.22–30.79safer9.37–16.568.35–15.7317.72–32.29
Offsides
55%
21%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.333.43safe0.94–3.260.24–2.421.18–5.69safer0.64–3.560.00–2.710.59–6.28
Yellow cards
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.743.70safe0.92–3.020.61–2.861.53–5.88safer0.65–3.280.31–3.160.97–6.44
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
40%
17%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.702.805.50safe1.26–4.131.24–4.362.51–8.49safer0.87–4.520.82–4.781.69–9.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 0.30–2.24 0.05–2.49 | 1.12 0.27–1.97 0.04–2.20 | 2.39 0.57–4.22 0.09–4.70 | 40% 28% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.29 2.43–6.15 1.94–6.64 | 3.89 2.15–5.63 1.68–6.10 | 8.18 4.57–11.78 3.62–12.74 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Total shots | 14.08 10.16–18.01 9.07–19.10 | 11.97 8.41–15.53 7.45–16.49 | 26.05 18.57–33.54 16.52–35.59 | 62% 30% |
| Shots in box | 9.70 6.76–12.64 5.93–13.47 | 7.84 5.16–10.52 4.42–11.26 | 17.54 11.91–23.16 10.35–24.73 | 63% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 4.44 2.56–6.32 2.01–6.86 | 3.90 2.25–5.55 1.75–6.04 | 8.34 4.80–11.87 3.77–12.91 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Corners | 5.55 3.34–7.76 2.76–8.34 | 4.69 2.69–6.69 2.16–7.23 | 10.24 6.03–14.46 4.92–15.56 | 54% 33% |
| Possession % | 46.64 39.85–53.43 38.18–55.10 | 53.62 46.83–60.40 45.16–62.08 | — | 32% 64% |
| Passes | 419 351–486 333–504 | 462 395–528 378–546 | 880 747–1014 711–1050 | 36% 64% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.27 59.24–67.30 57.95–68.59 | 71.85 67.52–76.17 66.21–77.48 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.97 10.13–15.80 9.37–16.56 | 12.04 9.10–14.99 8.35–15.73 | 25.01 19.22–30.79 17.72–32.29 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 2.10 0.94–3.26 0.64–3.56 | 1.33 0.24–2.42 0.00–2.71 | 3.43 1.18–5.69 0.59–6.28 | 55% 21% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.02 0.65–3.28 | 1.74 0.61–2.86 0.31–3.16 | 3.70 1.53–5.88 0.97–6.44 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.70 1.26–4.13 0.87–4.52 | 2.80 1.24–4.36 0.82–4.78 | 5.50 2.51–8.49 1.69–9.30 | 40% 17% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.