Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 18·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
23%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.853.26safe0.44–2.381.00–2.711.44–5.08safer0.19–2.630.77–2.940.96–5.56
Shots on target
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.575.5210.10safe2.71–6.443.78–7.276.49–13.70safer2.22–6.923.32–7.735.54–14.66
Total shots
36%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9414.3027.24safe9.01–16.8610.74–17.8719.75–34.73safer7.92–17.959.78–18.8217.70–36.78
Shots in box
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction8.769.6718.43safe5.82–11.706.99–12.3512.80–24.05safer4.99–12.536.25–13.0911.24–25.62
Blocked shots
31%
14%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.584.478.05safe1.70–5.462.82–6.124.51–11.58safer1.15–6.002.32–6.613.48–12.62
Corners
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.264.8710.13safe3.04–7.472.87–6.875.92–14.34safer2.47–8.042.34–7.414.81–15.45
Possession %
45%
51%
homeawayprediction49.5150.81safe42.72–56.3044.03–57.59safer41.05–57.9742.35–59.27
Passes
54%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction446433879safe379–514367–500746–1013safer361–532349–517710–1049
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction65.3470.88safe61.32–69.3766.56–75.21safer60.02–70.6765.25–76.51
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5012.8423.34safe7.67–13.349.89–15.7817.56–29.12safer6.91–14.109.14–16.5316.05–30.63
Offsides
41%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.663.41safe0.59–2.910.57–2.751.16–5.66safer0.29–3.210.28–3.040.57–6.25
Yellow cards
33%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.693.15safe0.41–2.510.56–2.820.97–5.32safer0.14–2.770.27–3.110.41–5.88
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
53%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.532.836.37safe2.10–4.971.28–4.393.37–9.36safer1.71–5.360.85–4.822.56–10.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.41 0.44–2.38 0.19–2.63 | 1.85 1.00–2.71 0.77–2.94 | 3.26 1.44–5.08 0.96–5.56 | 29% 23% 48% |
| Shots on target | 4.57 2.71–6.44 2.22–6.92 | 5.52 3.78–7.27 3.32–7.73 | 10.10 6.49–13.70 5.54–14.66 | 32% 56% |
| Total shots | 12.94 9.01–16.86 7.92–17.95 | 14.30 10.74–17.87 9.78–18.82 | 27.24 19.75–34.73 17.70–36.78 | 36% 57% |
| Shots in box | 8.76 5.82–11.70 4.99–12.53 | 9.67 6.99–12.35 6.25–13.09 | 18.43 12.80–24.05 11.24–25.62 | 37% 54% |
| Blocked shots | 3.58 1.70–5.46 1.15–6.00 | 4.47 2.82–6.12 2.32–6.61 | 8.05 4.51–11.58 3.48–12.62 | 31% 14% 55% |
| Corners | 5.26 3.04–7.47 2.47–8.04 | 4.87 2.87–6.87 2.34–7.41 | 10.13 5.92–14.34 4.81–15.45 | 48% 39% |
| Possession % | 49.51 42.72–56.30 41.05–57.97 | 50.81 44.03–57.59 42.35–59.27 | — | 45% 51% |
| Passes | 446 379–514 361–532 | 433 367–500 349–517 | 879 746–1013 710–1049 | 54% 45% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.34 61.32–69.37 60.02–70.67 | 70.88 66.56–75.21 65.25–76.51 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 10.50 7.67–13.34 6.91–14.10 | 12.84 9.89–15.78 9.14–16.53 | 23.34 17.56–29.12 16.05–30.63 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.75 0.59–2.91 0.29–3.21 | 1.66 0.57–2.75 0.28–3.04 | 3.41 1.16–5.66 0.57–6.25 | 41% 23% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.46 0.41–2.51 0.14–2.77 | 1.69 0.56–2.82 0.27–3.11 | 3.15 0.97–5.32 0.41–5.88 | 33% 23% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.53 2.10–4.97 1.71–5.36 | 2.83 1.28–4.39 0.85–4.82 | 6.37 3.37–9.36 2.56–10.17 | 53% 16% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+