Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 19·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
19%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.152.333.48safe0.18–2.111.48–3.191.66–5.30safer0.00–2.371.25–3.421.18–5.78
Shots on target
17%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.956.5010.45safe2.08–5.814.76–8.246.84–14.05safer1.60–6.304.29–8.715.89–15.01
Total shots
16%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4717.4929.96safe8.55–16.3913.93–21.0522.47–37.45safer7.45–17.4912.97–22.0120.42–39.50
Shots in box
15%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction7.8111.7719.58safe4.86–10.759.09–14.4513.95–25.20safer4.03–11.588.35–15.1912.39–26.77
Blocked shots
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.715.118.82safe1.83–5.593.45–6.765.28–12.35safer1.29–6.142.96–7.254.25–13.39
Corners
22%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction4.346.2910.63safe2.13–6.554.29–8.296.42–14.84safer1.55–7.133.76–8.825.31–15.95
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction39.7660.75safe32.97–46.5653.96–67.53safer31.30–48.2252.29–69.20
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction364549913safe297–431483–616780–1047safer279–450465–633744–1083
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction62.4278.51safe58.39–66.4574.19–82.84safer57.10–67.7472.88–84.14
Fouls
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction11.929.9521.87safe9.08–14.767.01–12.9016.09–27.66safer8.33–15.526.26–13.6514.59–29.16
Offsides
39%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.733.49safe0.59–2.910.64–2.821.23–5.74safer0.29–3.220.35–3.110.64–6.33
Yellow cards
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.643.56safe0.87–2.970.51–2.771.38–5.74safer0.60–3.230.22–3.060.82–6.29
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
66%
13%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.192.586.77safe2.76–5.631.02–4.143.78–9.76safer2.37–6.020.60–4.562.97–10.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.18–2.11 0.00–2.37 | 2.33 1.48–3.19 1.25–3.42 | 3.48 1.66–5.30 1.18–5.78 | 17% 19% 64% |
| Shots on target | 3.95 2.08–5.81 1.60–6.30 | 6.50 4.76–8.24 4.29–8.71 | 10.45 6.84–14.05 5.89–15.01 | 17% 74% |
| Total shots | 12.47 8.55–16.39 7.45–17.49 | 17.49 13.93–21.05 12.97–22.01 | 29.96 22.47–37.45 20.42–39.50 | 16% 80% |
| Shots in box | 7.81 4.86–10.75 4.03–11.58 | 11.77 9.09–14.45 8.35–15.19 | 19.58 13.95–25.20 12.39–26.77 | 15% 78% |
| Blocked shots | 3.71 1.83–5.59 1.29–6.14 | 5.11 3.45–6.76 2.96–7.25 | 8.82 5.28–12.35 4.25–13.39 | 26% 62% |
| Corners | 4.34 2.13–6.55 1.55–7.13 | 6.29 4.29–8.29 3.76–8.82 | 10.63 6.42–14.84 5.31–15.95 | 22% 67% |
| Possession % | 39.76 32.97–46.56 31.30–48.22 | 60.75 53.96–67.53 52.29–69.20 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 364 297–431 279–450 | 549 483–616 465–633 | 913 780–1047 744–1083 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.42 58.39–66.45 57.10–67.74 | 78.51 74.19–82.84 72.88–84.14 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 11.92 9.08–14.76 8.33–15.52 | 9.95 7.01–12.90 6.26–13.65 | 21.87 16.09–27.66 14.59–29.16 | 62% 30% |
| Offsides | 1.75 0.59–2.91 0.29–3.22 | 1.73 0.64–2.82 0.35–3.11 | 3.49 1.23–5.74 0.64–6.33 | 39% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.97 0.60–3.23 | 1.64 0.51–2.77 0.22–3.06 | 3.56 1.38–5.74 0.82–6.29 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 4.19 2.76–5.63 2.37–6.02 | 2.58 1.02–4.14 0.60–4.56 | 6.77 3.78–9.76 2.97–10.58 | 66% 13% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.