Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 19·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
27%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.112.51safe0.43–2.360.26–1.970.69–4.33safer0.18–2.620.03–2.200.21–4.81
Shots on target
53%
13%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.804.058.84safe2.93–6.662.31–5.795.24–12.45safer2.44–7.151.84–6.264.28–13.41
Total shots
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2512.4126.66safe10.33–18.188.85–15.9719.18–34.15safer9.24–19.277.89–16.9317.13–36.20
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction8.957.9016.85safe6.00–11.895.22–10.5811.23–22.47safer5.17–12.724.48–11.329.66–24.04
Blocked shots
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.503.026.51safe1.62–5.381.36–4.672.98–10.05safer1.07–5.920.87–5.161.94–11.09
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.764.3510.11safe3.55–7.982.35–6.355.90–14.32safer2.98–8.551.81–6.884.79–15.43
Possession %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction54.0246.44safe47.23–60.8139.65–53.22safer45.56–62.4837.98–54.89
Passes
77%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction502414916safe435–570347–480783–1050safer417–588330–498747–1086
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction67.4168.22safe63.38–71.4463.89–72.54safer62.08–72.7362.58–73.85
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0712.8223.89safe8.23–13.909.88–15.7718.10–29.67safer7.47–14.669.13–16.5116.60–31.17
Offsides
39%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.042.094.14safe0.88–3.201.00–3.191.88–6.39safer0.58–3.500.71–3.481.29–6.98
Yellow cards
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.652.033.68safe0.60–2.700.90–3.151.50–5.85safer0.33–2.970.61–3.450.94–6.41
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.743.406.14safe1.30–4.181.85–4.963.15–9.13safer0.92–4.561.42–5.382.34–9.95
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.43–2.36 0.18–2.62 | 1.11 0.26–1.97 0.03–2.20 | 2.51 0.69–4.33 0.21–4.81 | 43% 27% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.80 2.93–6.66 2.44–7.15 | 4.05 2.31–5.79 1.84–6.26 | 8.84 5.24–12.45 4.28–13.41 | 53% 13% 34% |
| Total shots | 14.25 10.33–18.18 9.24–19.27 | 12.41 8.85–15.97 7.89–16.93 | 26.66 19.18–34.15 17.13–36.20 | 60% 32% |
| Shots in box | 8.95 6.00–11.89 5.17–12.72 | 7.90 5.22–10.58 4.48–11.32 | 16.85 11.23–22.47 9.66–24.04 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 3.50 1.62–5.38 1.07–5.92 | 3.02 1.36–4.67 0.87–5.16 | 6.51 2.98–10.05 1.94–11.09 | 49% 16% 35% |
| Corners | 5.76 3.55–7.98 2.98–8.55 | 4.35 2.35–6.35 1.81–6.88 | 10.11 5.90–14.32 4.79–15.43 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 54.02 47.23–60.81 45.56–62.48 | 46.44 39.65–53.22 37.98–54.89 | — | 65% 31% |
| Passes | 502 435–570 417–588 | 414 347–480 330–498 | 916 783–1050 747–1086 | 77% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.41 63.38–71.44 62.08–72.73 | 68.22 63.89–72.54 62.58–73.85 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 11.07 8.23–13.90 7.47–14.66 | 12.82 9.88–15.77 9.13–16.51 | 23.89 18.10–29.67 16.60–31.17 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 2.04 0.88–3.20 0.58–3.50 | 2.09 1.00–3.19 0.71–3.48 | 4.14 1.88–6.39 1.29–6.98 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.65 0.60–2.70 0.33–2.97 | 2.03 0.90–3.15 0.61–3.45 | 3.68 1.50–5.85 0.94–6.41 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.74 1.30–4.18 0.92–4.56 | 3.40 1.85–4.96 1.42–5.38 | 6.14 3.15–9.13 2.34–9.95 | 32% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.