Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 20·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
28%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.152.40safe0.28–2.220.29–2.000.58–4.22safer0.03–2.470.06–2.230.10–4.70
Shots on target
51%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.243.657.89safe2.38–6.101.91–5.394.28–11.49safer1.89–6.591.44–5.863.33–12.45
Total shots
59%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1511.5724.71safe9.22–17.078.00–15.1317.23–32.20safer8.13–18.167.05–16.0915.18–34.25
Shots in box
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction8.867.2716.13safe5.92–11.804.59–9.9510.51–21.76safer5.09–12.633.85–10.698.94–23.32
Blocked shots
52%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.492.846.33safe1.61–5.381.19–4.492.80–9.87safer1.07–5.920.70–4.991.76–10.91
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.554.5010.05safe3.33–7.762.50–6.505.83–14.26safer2.76–8.331.97–7.034.73–15.37
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction55.3745.44safe48.58–62.1638.65–52.22safer46.91–63.8336.98–53.89
Passes
76%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction475390866safe408–543324–457732–999safer390–561306–474696–1035
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction63.7465.33safe59.71–67.7761.00–69.65safer58.42–69.0659.70–70.96
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9213.6225.53safe9.08–14.7510.67–16.5619.75–31.31safer8.32–15.519.92–17.3118.24–32.82
Offsides
49%
20%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.321.874.18safe1.16–3.480.77–2.961.93–6.44safer0.86–3.780.49–3.251.34–7.03
Yellow cards
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.982.154.13safe0.93–3.031.02–3.281.95–6.31safer0.66–3.290.73–3.571.39–6.86
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.130.21safe0.00–0.240.00–0.320.00–0.56safer0.00–0.390.00–0.450.00–0.84
GK saves
36%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.662.985.64safe1.22–4.091.43–4.542.65–8.63safer0.83–4.481.00–4.961.84–9.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 1.15 0.29–2.00 0.06–2.23 | 2.40 0.58–4.22 0.10–4.70 | 39% 28% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.24 2.38–6.10 1.89–6.59 | 3.65 1.91–5.39 1.44–5.86 | 7.89 4.28–11.49 3.33–12.45 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Total shots | 13.15 9.22–17.07 8.13–18.16 | 11.57 8.00–15.13 7.05–16.09 | 24.71 17.23–32.20 15.18–34.25 | 59% 34% |
| Shots in box | 8.86 5.92–11.80 5.09–12.63 | 7.27 4.59–9.95 3.85–10.69 | 16.13 10.51–21.76 8.94–23.32 | 61% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 3.49 1.61–5.38 1.07–5.92 | 2.84 1.19–4.49 0.70–4.99 | 6.33 2.80–9.87 1.76–10.91 | 52% 16% 32% |
| Corners | 5.55 3.33–7.76 2.76–8.33 | 4.50 2.50–6.50 1.97–7.03 | 10.05 5.83–14.26 4.73–15.37 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 55.37 48.58–62.16 46.91–63.83 | 45.44 38.65–52.22 36.98–53.89 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 475 408–543 390–561 | 390 324–457 306–474 | 866 732–999 696–1035 | 76% 24% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.74 59.71–67.77 58.42–69.06 | 65.33 61.00–69.65 59.70–70.96 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 11.92 9.08–14.75 8.32–15.51 | 13.62 10.67–16.56 9.92–17.31 | 25.53 19.75–31.31 18.24–32.82 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 2.32 1.16–3.48 0.86–3.78 | 1.87 0.77–2.96 0.49–3.25 | 4.18 1.93–6.44 1.34–7.03 | 49% 20% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.98 0.93–3.03 0.66–3.29 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 4.13 1.95–6.31 1.39–6.86 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.66 1.22–4.09 0.83–4.48 | 2.98 1.43–4.54 1.00–4.96 | 5.64 2.65–8.63 1.84–9.44 | 36% 17% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.