Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 21·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
21%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction1.940.782.72safe0.98–2.910.00–1.630.90–4.54safer0.72–3.160.00–1.860.42–5.02
Shots on target
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.743.068.80safe3.88–7.601.32–4.805.19–12.40safer3.39–8.090.85–5.274.24–13.36
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction15.908.3124.21safe11.97–19.824.75–11.8716.72–31.69safer10.88–20.913.79–12.8314.67–33.75
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction10.526.2416.76safe7.58–13.463.56–8.9211.14–22.38safer6.75–14.292.82–9.669.57–23.95
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction4.552.086.63safe2.67–6.430.43–3.733.09–10.16safer2.12–6.970.00–4.222.06–11.20
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.563.359.91safe4.34–8.771.35–5.355.69–14.12safer3.77–9.340.82–5.884.59–15.23
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.3237.34safe55.53–69.1130.56–44.13safer53.86–70.7828.89–45.80
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction572346918safe505–640279–412785–1052safer487–658262–430749–1088
Pass accuracy %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction73.8565.75safe69.82–77.8861.43–70.07safer68.53–79.1760.12–71.38
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3812.3425.72safe10.54–16.229.39–15.2819.94–31.50safer9.79–16.988.64–16.0318.43–33.01
Offsides
13%
13%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction1.463.344.80safe0.30–2.622.25–4.442.55–7.06safer0.00–2.921.96–4.731.96–7.65
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.732.053.77safe0.68–2.780.92–3.181.60–5.95safer0.41–3.040.63–3.471.04–6.51
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
20%
15%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.063.475.53safe0.62–3.501.91–5.032.54–8.52safer0.24–3.881.49–5.451.73–9.33
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.94 0.98–2.91 0.72–3.16 | 0.78 0.00–1.63 0.00–1.86 | 2.72 0.90–4.54 0.42–5.02 | 65% 21% 14% |
| Shots on target | 5.74 3.88–7.60 3.39–8.09 | 3.06 1.32–4.80 0.85–5.27 | 8.80 5.19–12.40 4.24–13.36 | 77% 14% |
| Total shots | 15.90 11.97–19.82 10.88–20.91 | 8.31 4.75–11.87 3.79–12.83 | 24.21 16.72–31.69 14.67–33.75 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 10.52 7.58–13.46 6.75–14.29 | 6.24 3.56–8.92 2.82–9.66 | 16.76 11.14–22.38 9.57–23.95 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 4.55 2.67–6.43 2.12–6.97 | 2.08 0.43–3.73 0.00–4.22 | 6.63 3.09–10.16 2.06–11.20 | 78% |
| Corners | 6.56 4.34–8.77 3.77–9.34 | 3.35 1.35–5.35 0.82–5.88 | 9.91 5.69–14.12 4.59–15.23 | 81% |
| Possession % | 62.32 55.53–69.11 53.86–70.78 | 37.34 30.56–44.13 28.89–45.80 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 572 505–640 487–658 | 346 279–412 262–430 | 918 785–1052 749–1088 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.85 69.82–77.88 68.53–79.17 | 65.75 61.43–70.07 60.12–71.38 | — | 84% 13% |
| Fouls | 13.38 10.54–16.22 9.79–16.98 | 12.34 9.39–15.28 8.64–16.03 | 25.72 19.94–31.50 18.43–33.01 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 3.34 2.25–4.44 1.96–4.73 | 4.80 2.55–7.06 1.96–7.65 | 13% 13% 74% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.41–3.04 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.77 1.60–5.95 1.04–6.51 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.06 0.62–3.50 0.24–3.88 | 3.47 1.91–5.03 1.49–5.45 | 5.53 2.54–8.52 1.73–9.33 | 20% 15% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+