Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 21·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
24%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.091.692.78safe0.12–2.050.84–2.540.95–4.60safer0.00–2.310.61–2.770.47–5.08
Shots on target
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.965.149.09safe2.10–5.823.39–6.885.49–12.70safer1.61–6.312.93–7.344.53–13.65
Total shots
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6313.8025.44safe7.71–15.5610.24–17.3717.95–32.93safer6.62–16.659.28–18.3315.90–34.98
Shots in box
28%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction7.419.3116.71safe4.46–10.356.63–11.9911.09–22.34safer3.63–11.185.89–12.739.52–23.90
Blocked shots
33%
15%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.203.837.04safe1.32–5.082.18–5.493.50–10.57safer0.78–5.631.69–5.982.47–11.61
Corners
42%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction5.085.1810.26safe2.87–7.293.18–7.186.05–14.48safer2.29–7.872.65–7.724.94–15.58
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction38.9961.22safe32.20–45.7854.44–68.01safer30.53–47.4552.77–69.68
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction336553890safe269–404487–620756–1024safer251–422469–637721–1059
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction61.0775.44safe57.04–65.1071.12–79.77safer55.75–66.3969.81–81.08
Fouls
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4311.7225.15safe10.59–16.268.77–14.6619.36–30.93safer9.83–17.028.02–15.4117.86–32.43
Offsides
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.363.17safe0.65–2.970.27–2.450.92–5.43safer0.35–3.280.00–2.740.33–6.02
Yellow cards
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.673.55safe0.84–2.930.54–2.791.37–5.73safer0.57–3.200.25–3.090.82–6.29
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
48%
17%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.192.775.95safe1.75–4.621.21–4.322.96–8.95safer1.36–5.010.79–4.752.15–9.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.12–2.05 0.00–2.31 | 1.69 0.84–2.54 0.61–2.77 | 2.78 0.95–4.60 0.47–5.08 | 24% 24% 51% |
| Shots on target | 3.96 2.10–5.82 1.61–6.31 | 5.14 3.39–6.88 2.93–7.34 | 9.09 5.49–12.70 4.53–13.65 | 29% 59% |
| Total shots | 11.63 7.71–15.56 6.62–16.65 | 13.80 10.24–17.37 9.28–18.33 | 25.44 17.95–32.93 15.90–34.98 | 30% 63% |
| Shots in box | 7.41 4.46–10.35 3.63–11.18 | 9.31 6.63–11.99 5.89–12.73 | 16.71 11.09–22.34 9.52–23.90 | 28% 63% |
| Blocked shots | 3.20 1.32–5.08 0.78–5.63 | 3.83 2.18–5.49 1.69–5.98 | 7.04 3.50–10.57 2.47–11.61 | 33% 15% 52% |
| Corners | 5.08 2.87–7.29 2.29–7.87 | 5.18 3.18–7.18 2.65–7.72 | 10.26 6.05–14.48 4.94–15.58 | 42% 45% |
| Possession % | 38.99 32.20–45.78 30.53–47.45 | 61.22 54.44–68.01 52.77–69.68 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 336 269–404 251–422 | 553 487–620 469–637 | 890 756–1024 721–1059 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.07 57.04–65.10 55.75–66.39 | 75.44 71.12–79.77 69.81–81.08 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 13.43 10.59–16.26 9.83–17.02 | 11.72 8.77–14.66 8.02–15.41 | 25.15 19.36–30.93 17.86–32.43 | 60% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.28 | 1.36 0.27–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 3.17 0.92–5.43 0.33–6.02 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.84–2.93 0.57–3.20 | 1.67 0.54–2.79 0.25–3.09 | 3.55 1.37–5.73 0.82–6.29 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.19 1.75–4.62 1.36–5.01 | 2.77 1.21–4.32 0.79–4.75 | 5.95 2.96–8.95 2.15–9.76 | 48% 17% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+