Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 21·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
21%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.152.093.23safe0.18–2.111.23–2.941.41–5.05safer0.00–2.371.00–3.170.93–5.53
Shots on target
25%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.975.559.52safe2.10–5.833.81–7.295.91–13.12safer1.61–6.323.34–7.764.96–14.08
Total shots
27%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1914.9427.13safe8.26–16.1111.38–18.5019.64–34.61safer7.17–17.2010.42–19.4617.59–36.66
Shots in box
19%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction7.4910.6918.18safe4.55–10.448.00–13.3712.56–23.80safer3.72–11.277.27–14.1010.99–25.37
Blocked shots
31%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.554.478.02safe1.67–5.442.81–6.124.49–11.56safer1.13–5.982.32–6.613.45–12.59
Corners
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.655.4810.14safe2.44–6.863.48–7.485.92–14.35safer1.86–7.442.95–8.024.81–15.46
Possession %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction46.4753.76safe39.68–53.2646.98–60.55safer38.01–54.9345.31–62.22
Passes
35%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction423468891safe355–490402–535757–1025safer337–508384–552722–1060
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction62.6070.86safe58.57–66.6366.54–75.18safer57.28–67.9265.23–76.49
Fouls
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5613.1223.68safe7.72–13.3910.18–16.0717.90–29.46safer6.96–14.159.43–16.8216.39–30.97
Offsides
24%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.462.283.75safe0.30–2.621.19–3.381.49–6.00safer0.00–2.920.90–3.670.90–6.59
Yellow cards
29%
20%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.193.85safe0.61–2.711.06–3.321.67–6.03safer0.34–2.980.77–3.611.11–6.58
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
53%
16%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.442.756.18safe2.00–4.871.19–4.303.19–9.18safer1.61–5.260.77–4.732.38–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.18–2.11 0.00–2.37 | 2.09 1.23–2.94 1.00–3.17 | 3.23 1.41–5.05 0.93–5.53 | 20% 21% 59% |
| Shots on target | 3.97 2.10–5.83 1.61–6.32 | 5.55 3.81–7.29 3.34–7.76 | 9.52 5.91–13.12 4.96–14.08 | 25% 64% |
| Total shots | 12.19 8.26–16.11 7.17–17.20 | 14.94 11.38–18.50 10.42–19.46 | 27.13 19.64–34.61 17.59–36.66 | 27% 67% |
| Shots in box | 7.49 4.55–10.44 3.72–11.27 | 10.69 8.00–13.37 7.27–14.10 | 18.18 12.56–23.80 10.99–25.37 | 19% 74% |
| Blocked shots | 3.55 1.67–5.44 1.13–5.98 | 4.47 2.81–6.12 2.32–6.61 | 8.02 4.49–11.56 3.45–12.59 | 31% 14% 56% |
| Corners | 4.65 2.44–6.86 1.86–7.44 | 5.48 3.48–7.48 2.95–8.02 | 10.14 5.92–14.35 4.81–15.46 | 34% 54% |
| Possession % | 46.47 39.68–53.26 38.01–54.93 | 53.76 46.98–60.55 45.31–62.22 | — | 31% 64% |
| Passes | 423 355–490 337–508 | 468 402–535 384–552 | 891 757–1025 722–1060 | 35% 65% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.60 58.57–66.63 57.28–67.92 | 70.86 66.54–75.18 65.23–76.49 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 10.56 7.72–13.39 6.96–14.15 | 13.12 10.18–16.07 9.43–16.82 | 23.68 17.90–29.46 16.39–30.97 | 26% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 2.28 1.19–3.38 0.90–3.67 | 3.75 1.49–6.00 0.90–6.59 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.34–2.98 | 2.19 1.06–3.32 0.77–3.61 | 3.85 1.67–6.03 1.11–6.58 | 29% 20% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.44 2.00–4.87 1.61–5.26 | 2.75 1.19–4.30 0.77–4.73 | 6.18 3.19–9.18 2.38–9.99 | 53% 16% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.