Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 21·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
26%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.111.462.57safe0.14–2.070.61–2.320.75–4.39safer0.00–2.320.38–2.550.27–4.87
Shots on target
31%
14%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.594.458.03safe1.72–5.452.70–6.194.43–11.64safer1.23–5.942.24–6.653.47–12.59
Total shots
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6212.6524.27safe7.69–15.549.09–16.2116.78–31.75safer6.60–16.638.13–17.1714.73–33.80
Shots in box
30%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction7.318.9416.25safe4.36–10.256.26–11.6210.62–21.87safer3.54–11.085.52–12.369.06–23.44
Blocked shots
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.023.476.49safe1.13–4.901.82–5.122.95–10.02safer0.59–5.441.33–5.621.92–11.06
Corners
36%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.645.239.87safe2.42–6.853.23–7.235.65–14.08safer1.85–7.422.70–7.764.55–15.19
Possession %
28%
67%
homeawayprediction45.5454.15safe38.75–52.3347.37–60.94safer37.08–54.0045.70–62.61
Passes
35%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction411457868safe343–478391–524734–1002safer325–496373–541699–1037
Pass accuracy %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction59.3567.53safe55.32–63.3863.20–71.85safer54.03–64.6761.89–73.16
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8511.8624.71safe10.01–15.698.91–14.8018.93–30.49safer9.26–16.458.17–15.5517.42–32.00
Offsides
55%
18%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.651.874.53safe1.49–3.820.78–2.972.27–6.78safer1.19–4.120.49–3.251.69–7.37
Yellow cards
45%
19%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.362.134.48safe1.31–3.411.00–3.252.30–6.66safer1.04–3.670.71–3.551.75–7.22
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
47%
17%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.912.595.50safe1.48–4.351.03–4.152.51–8.49safer1.09–4.740.61–4.571.70–9.31
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.11 0.14–2.07 0.00–2.32 | 1.46 0.61–2.32 0.38–2.55 | 2.57 0.75–4.39 0.27–4.87 | 29% 26% 45% |
| Shots on target | 3.59 1.72–5.45 1.23–5.94 | 4.45 2.70–6.19 2.24–6.65 | 8.03 4.43–11.64 3.47–12.59 | 31% 14% 55% |
| Total shots | 11.62 7.69–15.54 6.60–16.63 | 12.65 9.09–16.21 8.13–17.17 | 24.27 16.78–31.75 14.73–33.80 | 38% 54% |
| Shots in box | 7.31 4.36–10.25 3.54–11.08 | 8.94 6.26–11.62 5.52–12.36 | 16.25 10.62–21.87 9.06–23.44 | 30% 61% |
| Blocked shots | 3.02 1.13–4.90 0.59–5.44 | 3.47 1.82–5.12 1.33–5.62 | 6.49 2.95–10.02 1.92–11.06 | 35% 16% 49% |
| Corners | 4.64 2.42–6.85 1.85–7.42 | 5.23 3.23–7.23 2.70–7.76 | 9.87 5.65–14.08 4.55–15.19 | 36% 51% |
| Possession % | 45.54 38.75–52.33 37.08–54.00 | 54.15 47.37–60.94 45.70–62.61 | — | 28% 67% |
| Passes | 411 343–478 325–496 | 457 391–524 373–541 | 868 734–1002 699–1037 | 35% 65% |
| Pass accuracy % | 59.35 55.32–63.38 54.03–64.67 | 67.53 63.20–71.85 61.89–73.16 | — | 13% 84% |
| Fouls | 12.85 10.01–15.69 9.26–16.45 | 11.86 8.91–14.80 8.17–15.55 | 24.71 18.93–30.49 17.42–32.00 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.65 1.49–3.82 1.19–4.12 | 1.87 0.78–2.97 0.49–3.25 | 4.53 2.27–6.78 1.69–7.37 | 55% 18% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 2.36 1.31–3.41 1.04–3.67 | 2.13 1.00–3.25 0.71–3.55 | 4.48 2.30–6.66 1.75–7.22 | 45% 19% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.48–4.35 1.09–4.74 | 2.59 1.03–4.15 0.61–4.57 | 5.50 2.51–8.49 1.70–9.31 | 47% 17% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.