Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 22·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.502.91safe0.44–2.370.65–2.361.09–4.73safer0.19–2.630.42–2.590.61–5.21
Shots on target
46%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.614.419.01safe2.75–6.472.66–6.155.41–12.62safer2.26–6.962.20–6.614.45–13.57
Total shots
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1012.5925.69safe9.17–17.029.03–16.1618.20–33.18safer8.08–18.118.07–17.1216.15–35.23
Shots in box
41%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction8.428.8417.26safe5.48–11.366.16–11.5211.64–22.88safer4.65–12.195.42–12.2610.07–24.45
Blocked shots
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.113.516.62safe1.23–5.001.85–5.163.09–10.16safer0.69–5.541.36–5.652.05–11.19
Corners
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.805.029.82safe2.59–7.013.02–7.025.61–14.04safer2.01–7.592.49–7.564.50–15.14
Possession %
28%
67%
homeawayprediction45.8754.48safe39.08–52.6647.70–61.27safer37.41–54.3346.03–62.94
Passes
27%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction407478885safe339–474412–545751–1019safer321–492394–562716–1054
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction63.2273.06safe59.19–67.2568.73–77.38safer57.90–68.5567.42–78.69
Fouls
24%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3314.4325.75safe8.49–14.1611.48–17.3719.97–31.53safer7.73–14.9210.73–18.1218.47–33.04
Offsides
67%
14%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction3.702.145.84safe2.54–4.861.04–3.233.59–8.09safer2.24–5.160.76–3.523.00–8.68
Yellow cards
27%
19%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.554.34safe0.74–2.841.42–3.682.16–6.52safer0.48–3.111.13–3.971.61–7.08
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
36%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.793.125.91safe1.36–4.231.56–4.672.92–8.90safer0.97–4.621.14–5.102.11–9.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.41 0.44–2.37 0.19–2.63 | 1.50 0.65–2.36 0.42–2.59 | 2.91 1.09–4.73 0.61–5.21 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.61 2.75–6.47 2.26–6.96 | 4.41 2.66–6.15 2.20–6.61 | 9.01 5.41–12.62 4.45–13.57 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Total shots | 13.10 9.17–17.02 8.08–18.11 | 12.59 9.03–16.16 8.07–17.12 | 25.69 18.20–33.18 16.15–35.23 | 50% 42% |
| Shots in box | 8.42 5.48–11.36 4.65–12.19 | 8.84 6.16–11.52 5.42–12.26 | 17.26 11.64–22.88 10.07–24.45 | 41% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 3.11 1.23–5.00 0.69–5.54 | 3.51 1.85–5.16 1.36–5.65 | 6.62 3.09–10.16 2.05–11.19 | 36% 16% 48% |
| Corners | 4.80 2.59–7.01 2.01–7.59 | 5.02 3.02–7.02 2.49–7.56 | 9.82 5.61–14.04 4.50–15.14 | 41% 46% |
| Possession % | 45.87 39.08–52.66 37.41–54.33 | 54.48 47.70–61.27 46.03–62.94 | — | 28% 67% |
| Passes | 407 339–474 321–492 | 478 412–545 394–562 | 885 751–1019 716–1054 | 27% 72% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.22 59.19–67.25 57.90–68.55 | 73.06 68.73–77.38 67.42–78.69 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 11.33 8.49–14.16 7.73–14.92 | 14.43 11.48–17.37 10.73–18.12 | 25.75 19.97–31.53 18.47–33.04 | 24% 70% |
| Offsides | 3.70 2.54–4.86 2.24–5.16 | 2.14 1.04–3.23 0.76–3.52 | 5.84 3.59–8.09 3.00–8.68 | 67% 14% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.84 0.48–3.11 | 2.55 1.42–3.68 1.13–3.97 | 4.34 2.16–6.52 1.61–7.08 | 27% 19% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.79 1.36–4.23 0.97–4.62 | 3.12 1.56–4.67 1.14–5.10 | 5.91 2.92–8.90 2.11–9.72 | 36% 17% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.