Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 23·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
26%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.352.62safe0.30–2.240.49–2.200.80–4.44safer0.05–2.490.26–2.430.32–4.92
Shots on target
40%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.004.238.22safe2.13–5.862.48–5.974.62–11.83safer1.65–6.352.02–6.433.66–12.78
Total shots
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7512.4424.19safe7.83–15.688.88–16.0016.71–31.68safer6.73–16.777.92–16.9614.66–33.73
Shots in box
37%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction7.718.5416.25safe4.77–10.665.86–11.2210.63–21.88safer3.94–11.495.12–11.969.06–23.44
Blocked shots
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.093.366.44safe1.20–4.971.71–5.012.91–9.98safer0.66–5.511.21–5.501.87–11.01
Corners
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.214.9910.20safe2.99–7.422.99–6.995.98–14.41safer2.42–7.992.46–7.524.88–15.52
Possession %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction46.6753.96safe39.88–53.4647.17–60.74safer38.21–55.1345.50–62.41
Passes
30%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction394456850safe327–462389–522717–984safer309–480372–540681–1020
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction59.5266.86safe55.49–63.5562.54–71.19safer54.20–64.8561.23–72.50
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8312.2825.11safe9.99–15.669.34–15.2219.32–30.89safer9.23–16.428.59–15.9717.82–32.39
Offsides
63%
18%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.601.404.00safe1.44–3.760.30–2.491.74–6.25safer1.14–4.060.02–2.781.15–6.84
Yellow cards
36%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.902.104.00safe0.85–2.950.97–3.231.82–6.18safer0.58–3.220.68–3.521.26–6.73
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
38%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.662.855.52safe1.23–4.101.30–4.412.53–8.51safer0.84–4.490.87–4.841.71–9.32
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 0.30–2.24 0.05–2.49 | 1.35 0.49–2.20 0.26–2.43 | 2.62 0.80–4.44 0.32–4.92 | 35% 26% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.00 2.13–5.86 1.65–6.35 | 4.23 2.48–5.97 2.02–6.43 | 8.22 4.62–11.83 3.66–12.78 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Total shots | 11.75 7.83–15.68 6.73–16.77 | 12.44 8.88–16.00 7.92–16.96 | 24.19 16.71–31.68 14.66–33.73 | 40% 52% |
| Shots in box | 7.71 4.77–10.66 3.94–11.49 | 8.54 5.86–11.22 5.12–11.96 | 16.25 10.63–21.88 9.06–23.44 | 37% 53% |
| Blocked shots | 3.09 1.20–4.97 0.66–5.51 | 3.36 1.71–5.01 1.21–5.50 | 6.44 2.91–9.98 1.87–11.01 | 38% 16% 46% |
| Corners | 5.21 2.99–7.42 2.42–7.99 | 4.99 2.99–6.99 2.46–7.52 | 10.20 5.98–14.41 4.88–15.52 | 46% 41% |
| Possession % | 46.67 39.88–53.46 38.21–55.13 | 53.96 47.17–60.74 45.50–62.41 | — | 31% 64% |
| Passes | 394 327–462 309–480 | 456 389–522 372–540 | 850 717–984 681–1020 | 30% 70% |
| Pass accuracy % | 59.52 55.49–63.55 54.20–64.85 | 66.86 62.54–71.19 61.23–72.50 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 12.83 9.99–15.66 9.23–16.42 | 12.28 9.34–15.22 8.59–15.97 | 25.11 19.32–30.89 17.82–32.39 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 2.60 1.44–3.76 1.14–4.06 | 1.40 0.30–2.49 0.02–2.78 | 4.00 1.74–6.25 1.15–6.84 | 63% 18% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.58–3.22 | 2.10 0.97–3.23 0.68–3.52 | 4.00 1.82–6.18 1.26–6.73 | 36% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.66 1.23–4.10 0.84–4.49 | 2.85 1.30–4.41 0.87–4.84 | 5.52 2.53–8.51 1.71–9.32 | 38% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.