Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 23·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
25%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.572.73safe0.20–2.130.71–2.420.91–4.55safer0.00–2.380.48–2.650.43–5.03
Shots on target
31%
13%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.774.688.44safe1.90–5.632.93–6.424.84–12.05safer1.41–6.122.47–6.883.88–13.00
Total shots
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5713.7325.30safe7.65–15.5010.17–17.2917.81–32.79safer6.56–16.599.21–18.2515.76–34.84
Shots in box
27%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction7.599.6017.19safe4.65–10.536.92–12.2811.57–22.81safer3.82–11.366.18–13.0210.00–24.38
Blocked shots
37%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.744.177.90safe1.85–5.622.51–5.824.37–11.44safer1.31–6.162.02–6.313.33–12.47
Corners
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.775.069.84safe2.56–6.993.06–7.065.62–14.05safer1.99–7.562.53–7.604.51–15.16
Possession %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction50.0750.21safe43.28–56.8643.42–56.99safer41.61–58.5341.75–58.66
Passes
57%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction463440902safe395–530373–506768–1036safer377–548356–524733–1071
Pass accuracy %
24%
71%
homeawayprediction64.4669.34safe60.44–68.4965.02–73.66safer59.14–69.7963.71–74.97
Fouls
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7512.2021.95safe6.92–12.599.25–15.1416.17–27.73safer6.16–13.358.51–15.8914.66–29.24
Offsides
30%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.823.22safe0.25–2.570.73–2.910.97–5.48safer0.00–2.870.44–3.200.38–6.07
Yellow cards
37%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.723.35safe0.58–2.680.59–2.851.17–5.53safer0.31–2.940.30–3.140.61–6.08
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
47%
17%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.972.655.62safe1.53–4.411.09–4.202.62–8.61safer1.15–4.790.67–4.631.81–9.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.20–2.13 0.00–2.38 | 1.57 0.71–2.42 0.48–2.65 | 2.73 0.91–4.55 0.43–5.03 | 28% 25% 47% |
| Shots on target | 3.77 1.90–5.63 1.41–6.12 | 4.68 2.93–6.42 2.47–6.88 | 8.44 4.84–12.05 3.88–13.00 | 31% 13% 55% |
| Total shots | 11.57 7.65–15.50 6.56–16.59 | 13.73 10.17–17.29 9.21–18.25 | 25.30 17.81–32.79 15.76–34.84 | 30% 63% |
| Shots in box | 7.59 4.65–10.53 3.82–11.36 | 9.60 6.92–12.28 6.18–13.02 | 17.19 11.57–22.81 10.00–24.38 | 27% 64% |
| Blocked shots | 3.74 1.85–5.62 1.31–6.16 | 4.17 2.51–5.82 2.02–6.31 | 7.90 4.37–11.44 3.33–12.47 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Corners | 4.77 2.56–6.99 1.99–7.56 | 5.06 3.06–7.06 2.53–7.60 | 9.84 5.62–14.05 4.51–15.16 | 40% 47% |
| Possession % | 50.07 43.28–56.86 41.61–58.53 | 50.21 43.42–56.99 41.75–58.66 | — | 47% 48% |
| Passes | 463 395–530 377–548 | 440 373–506 356–524 | 902 768–1036 733–1071 | 57% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.46 60.44–68.49 59.14–69.79 | 69.34 65.02–73.66 63.71–74.97 | — | 24% 71% |
| Fouls | 9.75 6.92–12.59 6.16–13.35 | 12.20 9.25–15.14 8.51–15.89 | 21.95 16.17–27.73 14.66–29.24 | 26% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.41 0.25–2.57 0.00–2.87 | 1.82 0.73–2.91 0.44–3.20 | 3.22 0.97–5.48 0.38–6.07 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 0.58–2.68 0.31–2.94 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.35 1.17–5.53 0.61–6.08 | 37% 23% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.97 1.53–4.41 1.15–4.79 | 2.65 1.09–4.20 0.67–4.63 | 5.62 2.62–8.61 1.81–9.42 | 47% 17% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.