Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 26·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
22%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.930.982.91safe0.96–2.900.12–1.831.08–4.73safer0.71–3.150.00–2.060.60–5.21
Shots on target
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.913.339.24safe4.05–7.771.59–5.075.64–12.85safer3.56–8.261.12–5.544.68–13.80
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction17.1810.2427.42safe13.25–21.106.68–13.8019.93–34.91safer12.16–22.195.72–14.7617.88–36.96
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction11.486.6418.12safe8.53–14.423.96–9.3212.49–23.74safer7.70–15.253.22–10.0610.93–25.31
Blocked shots
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.833.147.98safe2.95–6.721.49–4.804.44–11.51safer2.41–7.261.00–5.293.41–12.55
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.303.609.90safe4.08–8.511.60–5.605.68–14.11safer3.51–9.081.07–6.134.58–15.22
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction55.1845.29safe48.39–61.9738.50–52.07safer46.72–63.6436.83–53.74
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction547452999safe480–614385–518865–1132safer462–632368–536829–1168
Pass accuracy %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction74.6971.46safe70.66–78.7267.14–75.78safer69.37–80.0165.83–77.09
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1610.9222.08safe8.33–14.007.97–13.8616.30–27.86safer7.57–14.767.22–14.6114.79–29.37
Offsides
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.823.52safe0.55–2.870.72–2.911.27–5.77safer0.24–3.170.43–3.200.68–6.36
Yellow cards
32%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.582.92safe0.29–2.390.46–2.710.74–5.10safer0.02–2.650.16–3.000.19–5.66
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.563.776.33safe1.12–3.992.22–5.333.34–9.32safer0.73–4.381.79–5.752.53–10.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.93 0.96–2.90 0.71–3.15 | 0.98 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 2.91 1.08–4.73 0.60–5.21 | 60% 22% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.91 4.05–7.77 3.56–8.26 | 3.33 1.59–5.07 1.12–5.54 | 9.24 5.64–12.85 4.68–13.80 | 75% 15% |
| Total shots | 17.18 13.25–21.10 12.16–22.19 | 10.24 6.68–13.80 5.72–14.76 | 27.42 19.93–34.91 17.88–36.96 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 11.48 8.53–14.42 7.70–15.25 | 6.64 3.96–9.32 3.22–10.06 | 18.12 12.49–23.74 10.93–25.31 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.83 2.95–6.72 2.41–7.26 | 3.14 1.49–4.80 1.00–5.29 | 7.98 4.44–11.51 3.41–12.55 | 66% 22% |
| Corners | 6.30 4.08–8.51 3.51–9.08 | 3.60 1.60–5.60 1.07–6.13 | 9.90 5.68–14.11 4.58–15.22 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 55.18 48.39–61.97 46.72–63.64 | 45.29 38.50–52.07 36.83–53.74 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 547 480–614 462–632 | 452 385–518 368–536 | 999 865–1132 829–1168 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.69 70.66–78.72 69.37–80.01 | 71.46 67.14–75.78 65.83–77.09 | — | 64% 32% |
| Fouls | 11.16 8.33–14.00 7.57–14.76 | 10.92 7.97–13.86 7.22–14.61 | 22.08 16.30–27.86 14.79–29.37 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.24–3.17 | 1.82 0.72–2.91 0.43–3.20 | 3.52 1.27–5.77 0.68–6.36 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.34 0.29–2.39 0.02–2.65 | 1.58 0.46–2.71 0.16–3.00 | 2.92 0.74–5.10 0.19–5.66 | 32% 24% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.12–3.99 0.73–4.38 | 3.77 2.22–5.33 1.79–5.75 | 6.33 3.34–9.32 2.53–10.13 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.