Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 29·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
23%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.863.24safe0.41–2.351.00–2.711.42–5.06safer0.16–2.600.77–2.940.94–5.54
Shots on target
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.815.6210.43safe2.95–6.683.88–7.366.83–14.04safer2.46–7.173.41–7.835.87–14.99
Total shots
43%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1715.6430.81safe11.25–19.0912.08–19.2123.33–38.30safer10.15–20.1911.12–20.1721.28–40.35
Shots in box
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8610.9920.85safe6.92–12.808.31–13.6815.23–26.48safer6.09–13.637.58–14.4113.66–28.04
Blocked shots
37%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.124.568.68safe2.24–6.002.91–6.215.14–12.21safer1.69–6.542.41–6.704.11–13.25
Corners
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.625.4510.07safe2.41–6.833.45–7.455.86–14.29safer1.83–7.412.92–7.994.75–15.40
Possession %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction46.9454.55safe40.15–53.7347.77–61.34safer38.48–55.4046.09–63.01
Passes
32%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction456510966safe388–523444–577832–1099safer370–541426–594796–1135
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction68.6877.58safe64.65–72.7173.25–81.90safer63.35–74.0071.94–83.21
Fouls
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0810.6320.71safe7.25–12.927.68–13.5714.93–26.49safer6.49–13.686.93–14.3213.42–28.00
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.773.59safe0.66–2.980.68–2.861.34–5.84safer0.36–3.280.39–3.150.75–6.43
Yellow cards
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.683.23safe0.50–2.600.55–2.811.05–5.41safer0.24–2.870.26–3.100.49–5.96
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
47%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.473.176.64safe2.03–4.911.62–4.733.65–9.64safer1.65–5.291.19–5.152.84–10.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.41–2.35 0.16–2.60 | 1.86 1.00–2.71 0.77–2.94 | 3.24 1.42–5.06 0.94–5.54 | 29% 23% 49% |
| Shots on target | 4.81 2.95–6.68 2.46–7.17 | 5.62 3.88–7.36 3.41–7.83 | 10.43 6.83–14.04 5.87–14.99 | 34% 54% |
| Total shots | 15.17 11.25–19.09 10.15–20.19 | 15.64 12.08–19.21 11.12–20.17 | 30.81 23.33–38.30 21.28–40.35 | 43% 50% |
| Shots in box | 9.86 6.92–12.80 6.09–13.63 | 10.99 8.31–13.68 7.58–14.41 | 20.85 15.23–26.48 13.66–28.04 | 36% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 4.12 2.24–6.00 1.69–6.54 | 4.56 2.91–6.21 2.41–6.70 | 8.68 5.14–12.21 4.11–13.25 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Corners | 4.62 2.41–6.83 1.83–7.41 | 5.45 3.45–7.45 2.92–7.99 | 10.07 5.86–14.29 4.75–15.40 | 34% 54% |
| Possession % | 46.94 40.15–53.73 38.48–55.40 | 54.55 47.77–61.34 46.09–63.01 | — | 31% 65% |
| Passes | 456 388–523 370–541 | 510 444–577 426–594 | 966 832–1099 796–1135 | 32% 67% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.68 64.65–72.71 63.35–74.00 | 77.58 73.25–81.90 71.94–83.21 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 10.08 7.25–12.92 6.49–13.68 | 10.63 7.68–13.57 6.93–14.32 | 20.71 14.93–26.49 13.42–28.00 | 41% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.28 | 1.77 0.68–2.86 0.39–3.15 | 3.59 1.34–5.84 0.75–6.43 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.60 0.24–2.87 | 1.68 0.55–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 3.23 1.05–5.41 0.49–5.96 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.47 2.03–4.91 1.65–5.29 | 3.17 1.62–4.73 1.19–5.15 | 6.64 3.65–9.64 2.84–10.45 | 47% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.