Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 29·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.410.853.26safe1.44–3.380.00–1.701.43–5.08safer1.19–3.630.00–1.930.95–5.56
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.993.5210.51safe5.12–8.851.78–5.266.90–14.11safer4.63–9.341.31–5.735.95–15.07
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction18.8910.3129.20safe14.96–22.816.75–13.8721.71–36.68safer13.87–23.905.79–14.8319.66–38.73
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction13.326.2119.52safe10.37–16.263.53–8.8913.90–25.15safer9.55–17.092.79–9.6312.33–26.71
Blocked shots
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.923.047.96safe3.03–6.801.39–4.704.42–11.49safer2.49–7.340.90–5.193.39–12.53
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction7.163.6210.78safe4.94–9.371.62–5.626.56–14.99safer4.37–9.941.09–6.155.46–16.10
Possession %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction57.8442.18safe51.05–64.6335.40–48.97safer49.38–66.3033.72–50.64
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction533385918safe466–601318–451784–1052safer448–619301–469749–1088
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction67.9766.62safe63.94–72.0062.29–70.94safer62.65–73.2960.98–72.25
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0012.6822.69safe7.16–12.849.74–15.6316.90–28.47safer6.41–13.598.99–16.3815.40–29.97
Offsides
51%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.293.15safe0.70–3.020.20–2.380.90–5.41safer0.40–3.320.00–2.670.31–6.00
Yellow cards
22%
21%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.272.123.39safe0.22–2.320.99–3.251.21–5.57safer0.00–2.590.70–3.540.66–6.13
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.130.19safe0.00–0.220.00–0.320.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.450.00–0.82
GK saves
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.504.767.26safe1.06–3.943.20–6.314.26–10.25safer0.68–4.322.77–6.743.45–11.06
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.41 1.44–3.38 1.19–3.63 | 0.85 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.93 | 3.26 1.43–5.08 0.95–5.56 | 72% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.99 5.12–8.85 4.63–9.34 | 3.52 1.78–5.26 1.31–5.73 | 10.51 6.90–14.11 5.95–15.07 | 82% |
| Total shots | 18.89 14.96–22.81 13.87–23.90 | 10.31 6.75–13.87 5.79–14.83 | 29.20 21.71–36.68 19.66–38.73 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 13.32 10.37–16.26 9.55–17.09 | 6.21 3.53–8.89 2.79–9.63 | 19.52 13.90–25.15 12.33–26.71 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 4.92 3.03–6.80 2.49–7.34 | 3.04 1.39–4.70 0.90–5.19 | 7.96 4.42–11.49 3.39–12.53 | 69% 20% |
| Corners | 7.16 4.94–9.37 4.37–9.94 | 3.62 1.62–5.62 1.09–6.15 | 10.78 6.56–14.99 5.46–16.10 | 82% |
| Possession % | 57.84 51.05–64.63 49.38–66.30 | 42.18 35.40–48.97 33.72–50.64 | — | 81% 16% |
| Passes | 533 466–601 448–619 | 385 318–451 301–469 | 918 784–1052 749–1088 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.97 63.94–72.00 62.65–73.29 | 66.62 62.29–70.94 60.98–72.25 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 10.00 7.16–12.84 6.41–13.59 | 12.68 9.74–15.63 8.99–16.38 | 22.69 16.90–28.47 15.40–29.97 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 1.29 0.20–2.38 0.00–2.67 | 3.15 0.90–5.41 0.31–6.00 | 51% 23% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.27 0.22–2.32 0.00–2.59 | 2.12 0.99–3.25 0.70–3.54 | 3.39 1.21–5.57 0.66–6.13 | 22% 21% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.50 1.06–3.94 0.68–4.32 | 4.76 3.20–6.31 2.77–6.74 | 7.26 4.26–10.25 3.45–11.06 | 15% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.