Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 29·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.432.83safe0.44–2.370.57–2.281.01–4.65safer0.18–2.620.34–2.510.53–5.13
Shots on target
43%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.704.739.42safe2.84–6.562.98–6.475.82–13.03safer2.35–7.052.52–6.934.86–13.98
Total shots
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5413.0527.59safe10.62–18.479.48–16.6120.10–35.08safer9.53–19.568.52–17.5718.05–37.13
Shots in box
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction9.079.4218.49safe6.13–12.016.74–12.1012.86–24.11safer5.30–12.846.00–12.8411.30–25.68
Blocked shots
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.953.617.56safe2.06–5.831.96–5.274.02–11.09safer1.52–6.371.47–5.762.99–12.13
Corners
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.105.0610.15safe2.88–7.313.06–7.065.94–14.37safer2.31–7.882.53–7.594.83–15.47
Possession %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction49.3751.21safe42.58–56.1644.42–57.99safer40.91–57.8342.75–59.66
Passes
47%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction459468927safe392–526401–534793–1060safer373–544384–552757–1096
Pass accuracy %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction68.3974.81safe64.36–72.4270.49–79.13safer63.07–73.7169.18–80.44
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4011.5821.98safe7.57–13.248.63–14.5216.20–27.76safer6.81–14.007.88–15.2714.69–29.27
Offsides
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.433.20safe0.61–2.930.34–2.520.95–5.46safer0.31–3.230.05–2.810.36–6.04
Yellow cards
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.673.23safe0.51–2.610.54–2.801.05–5.41safer0.24–2.870.25–3.090.49–5.96
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
42%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.183.176.36safe1.75–4.621.62–4.733.36–9.35safer1.36–5.011.19–5.152.55–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.44–2.37 0.18–2.62 | 1.43 0.57–2.28 0.34–2.51 | 2.83 1.01–4.65 0.53–5.13 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.70 2.84–6.56 2.35–7.05 | 4.73 2.98–6.47 2.52–6.93 | 9.42 5.82–13.03 4.86–13.98 | 43% 13% 44% |
| Total shots | 14.54 10.62–18.47 9.53–19.56 | 13.05 9.48–16.61 8.52–17.57 | 27.59 20.10–35.08 18.05–37.13 | 58% 35% |
| Shots in box | 9.07 6.13–12.01 5.30–12.84 | 9.42 6.74–12.10 6.00–12.84 | 18.49 12.86–24.11 11.30–25.68 | 42% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 3.95 2.06–5.83 1.52–6.37 | 3.61 1.96–5.27 1.47–5.76 | 7.56 4.02–11.09 2.99–12.13 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 5.10 2.88–7.31 2.31–7.88 | 5.06 3.06–7.06 2.53–7.59 | 10.15 5.94–14.37 4.83–15.47 | 44% 43% |
| Possession % | 49.37 42.58–56.16 40.91–57.83 | 51.21 44.42–57.99 42.75–59.66 | — | 43% 52% |
| Passes | 459 392–526 373–544 | 468 401–534 384–552 | 927 793–1060 757–1096 | 47% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.39 64.36–72.42 63.07–73.71 | 74.81 70.49–79.13 69.18–80.44 | — | 19% 78% |
| Fouls | 10.40 7.57–13.24 6.81–14.00 | 11.58 8.63–14.52 7.88–15.27 | 21.98 16.20–27.76 14.69–29.27 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.23 | 1.43 0.34–2.52 0.05–2.81 | 3.20 0.95–5.46 0.36–6.04 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.24–2.87 | 1.67 0.54–2.80 0.25–3.09 | 3.23 1.05–5.41 0.49–5.96 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.18 1.75–4.62 1.36–5.01 | 3.17 1.62–4.73 1.19–5.15 | 6.36 3.36–9.35 2.55–10.16 | 42% 16% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.